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Sports·Formula 1

F1 Drivers' Champion

Market icon
Sports·Formula 1

F1 Drivers' Champion

George Russell 47%

Kimi Antonelli 31.9%

Charles Leclerc 5.3%

Oscar Piastri 4.3%

Polymarket

$72,632,502 Vol.

George Russell 47%

Kimi Antonelli 31.9%

Charles Leclerc 5.3%

Oscar Piastri 4.3%

Polymarket

$72,632,502 Vol.

George Russell

$1,371,091 Vol.

47%

Kimi Antonelli

$2,501,821 Vol.

32%

Charles Leclerc

$2,202,028 Vol.

5%

Oscar Piastri

$1,197,989 Vol.

4%

Lewis Hamilton

$2,761,393 Vol.

3%

Lando Norris

$1,369,229 Vol.

2%

Max Verstappen

$1,116,534 Vol.

2%

Fernando Alonso

$3,663,238 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$3,513,733 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hülkenberg

$3,030,179 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Pérez

$3,979,033 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$3,899,117 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$4,998,712 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$3,802,814 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$4,201,145 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$4,383,517 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$3,414,158 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$2,799,268 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$4,420,992 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$4,282,941 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$4,233,521 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$5,493,141 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Mercedes' dominant start to the 2026 F1 season under new regulations has positioned George Russell and Kimi Antonelli as overwhelming trader favorites for the Drivers' Championship, with the teammates locking out podiums in the opening three Grands Prix. Russell's consistent P1 or P2 finishes across Australia (win), China, and Japan—coupled with his experience—anchors his 46.5% implied probability edge, while rookie Antonelli's back-to-back victories in China and Japan, including pole at Suzuka and the championship lead at 72 points to Russell's 63, fuels his 31.9% share despite a P4 in the latest race. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc trails at 5.3% after third-place results, as Mercedes' pace advantage shapes the wisdom-of-crowds consensus early on.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$72,632,502
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Mercedes' dominant start to the 2026 F1 season under new regulations has positioned George Russell and Kimi Antonelli as overwhelming trader favorites for the Drivers' Championship, with the teammates locking out podiums in the opening three Grands Prix. Russell's consistent P1 or P2 finishes across Australia (win), China, and Japan—coupled with his experience—anchors his 46.5% implied probability edge, while rookie Antonelli's back-to-back victories in China and Japan, including pole at Suzuka and the championship lead at 72 points to Russell's 63, fuels his 31.9% share despite a P4 in the latest race. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc trails at 5.3% after third-place results, as Mercedes' pace advantage shapes the wisdom-of-crowds consensus early on.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$72,632,502
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Drivers' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "George Russell" at 47%, followed by "Kimi Antonelli" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Drivers' Champion" has generated $72.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Drivers' Champion," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Drivers' Champion" is "George Russell" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Drivers' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.