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Elecciones EE. UU. 2024 predicciones y probabilidades

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Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

58%

Christopher Luxon

$3.5K Vol.

$21.4K Liq.

Ends en 5 meses

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

16%

$89.3K Vol.

$31.0K Liq.

12

Ends en 7 meses

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

26%

≤47

$3M Vol.

$315K Liq.

7

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

41%

24–25

$677K Vol.

$51.7K Liq.

4

Ends en 5 meses

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

30%

Below 190

$251K Vol.

$122K Liq.

2

Ends en 5 meses

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

92%

$173K Vol.

$41.2K Liq.

19

Ends en 7 meses

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

82%

Democratic Party

$7M Vol.

$586K Liq.

1

Ends en 5 meses

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

54%

Republican Party

$3M Vol.

$310K Liq.

66

Ends en 5 meses

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

99%

Mette Frederiksen

$9M Vol.

$275K Liq.

182

Ends hace 2 meses

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

80%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$117K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

32

Ends en 6 meses

South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

98%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

$209K Vol.

$158K today

$137K Liq.

2

Ends hace 1 día

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

100%

4

$99.0K Vol.

$46.7K Liq.

2

Ends hace 1 día

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

94%

8-9

$47.2K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends hace 1 día

Berlin State Election Winner

Berlin State Election Winner

28%

CDU

$3M Vol.

$184K Liq.

6

Ends en 4 meses

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

39%

4-6

$2.2K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

79%

0

$4.8K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

46%

4-6

$59.5K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

1

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

54%

2

$6.0K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

100%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

$3M Vol.

$95.8K today

$345K Liq.

5

Ends hace 1 día

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

92%

CDU

$48.0K Vol.

$92.3K Liq.

Ends en 3 meses

Preguntas frecuentes

Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento operando sobre temas relacionados con noticias de última hora, política, deportes, elecciones, criptomonedas, finanzas, tecnología, cultura, incluyendo temas como Elecciones EE. UU. 2024.

Polymarket alberga actualmente 127 mercados activos sobre Elecciones EE. UU. 2024 que te permiten seguir u operar en predicciones como “Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?”. Ya sea que sigas eventos ampliamente debatidos o resultados de nicho, la plataforma agrega probabilidades en tiempo real basadas en más de $29.1M en volumen de operaciones, proporcionando una visión integral del sentimiento de fans e inversores.

Cada polymarket es una pregunta de sí/no, como “Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?”. Compras acciones en resultados de “sí” o “no”. Los precios reflejan probabilidades colaborativas. Por ejemplo, si el sí está a 30 centavos, eso representa un 30% de probabilidad. Los mercados se resuelven en base a resultados oficiales. Para eventos con múltiples resultados, como “Next Prime Minister of Denmark?”, simplemente operas sobre el resultado específico que crees que ganará.

A día de hoy, el mercado más activo es “Next Prime Minister of Denmark?”, donde la multitud asigna actualmente un 99% de probabilidad a Mette Frederiksen. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que surge nueva información y los usuarios operan, ofreciendo una instantánea dinámica de lo que el mercado cree que sucederá en comparación con las cuotas tradicionales de las casas de apuestas.

Elimina el ruido. A diferencia de las encuestas o los comentaristas, Polymarket te muestra probabilidades en tiempo real sobre predicciones de Elecciones EE. UU. 2024 respaldadas por convicción financiera, que suelen ser más rápidas y precisas que los expertos o las encuestas. Obtienes una visión imparcial de lo que miles de operadores creen que realmente sucederá, a menudo más precisa que las encuestas. Además, puedes operar con acciones y potencialmente obtener beneficios si tus predicciones son acertadas.