Elecciones En Estados Unidos predicciones y probabilidades

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When will Nikki Haley drop out?

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

PolíTica

When will Nikki Haley drop out?

March

$131k Vol.

$0 Liq.

6

Trump Margin of Victory in Iowa Caucus?

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

PolíTica

Trump Margin of Victory in Iowa Caucus?

>40%

$437k Vol.

$0 Liq.

8

MO-1 Democratic Primary Winner

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

Elecciones

MO-1 Democratic Primary Winner

Wesley Bell

$144k Vol.

11

Virginia Senate Republican Primary Winner

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

PolíTica

Virginia Senate Republican Primary Winner

Hung Cao

$38.0k Vol.

Biden campaign accepts crypto donations in May?

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

Joe Biden

Biden campaign accepts crypto donations in May?

No

$28.9k Vol.

Montana Senate Election Winner

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

PolíTica

Montana Senate Election Winner

Republican

$4m Vol.

42

Alabama Presidential Election Winner

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

PolíTica

Alabama Presidential Election Winner

Donald Trump

$561k Vol.

7

Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

PolíTica

Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?

No

$1m Vol.

12

Tennessee Senate Election Winner

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

PolíTica

Tennessee Senate Election Winner

Other

$140k Vol.

4

Nevada Senate Republican Primary Winner

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

PolíTica

Nevada Senate Republican Primary Winner

Sam Brown

$77.2k Vol.

Republican VP nominee?

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

PolíTica

Republican VP nominee?

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$93m Vol.

351

RFK Jr. wins a state?

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

PolíTica

RFK Jr. wins a state?

No

$379k Vol.

11

Faithless elector in US election?

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

PolíTica

Faithless elector in US election?

No

$96.4k Vol.

8

Nevada Senate Democratic Primary Winner

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

PolíTica

Nevada Senate Democratic Primary Winner

Jacky Rosen

$50.1k Vol.

When will Trump announce VP pick?

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

Candidatura A La Vicepresidencia

When will Trump announce VP pick?

May

$561k Vol.

Alaska Presidential Election Winner

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

PolíTica

Alaska Presidential Election Winner

Donald Trump

$2m Vol.

12

Who will win San Francisco Mayor Election?

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

PolíTica

Who will win San Francisco Mayor Election?

Daniel Lurie

$2m Vol.

17

New York Presidential Election Winner

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

PolíTica

New York Presidential Election Winner

Kamala Harris

$11m Vol.

95

Boebert wins Colorado-4 Republican Primary?

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

PolíTica

Boebert wins Colorado-4 Republican Primary?

Yes

$53.0k Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Elecciones En Estados Unidos

PolíTica

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Republican

$15m Vol.

56

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 31 active markets for Elecciones En Estados Unidos that lets you track or trade on predictions like "When will Nikki Haley drop out?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $130.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "RFK Jr. wins a state?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Republican VP nominee?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Republican VP nominee?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elecciones En Estados Unidos predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.