Russian forces have intensified assaults northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, targeting Vasylivka (48.357760° N, 37.038017° E) and nearby settlements like Hryshyne, Serhiivka, and Novooleksandrivka as part of the ongoing Kostyantynivka axis offensive. Ukrainian officials stated on March 31 that Vasiukivka remains under their control after repelling infantry and quad-bike attacks, debunking Russian claims of capture amid conflicting reports of advances in adjacent areas such as Sviato-Pokrovske. No verified entry into Vasylivka appears on ISW maps, which govern resolution; trader consensus weighs sustained Russian pressure against firm Ukrainian defenses. Daily ISW updates and frontline clashes could prompt rapid shifts ahead of April timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoWill Russia enter Vasylivka by...?
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by...?
$21,706 Vol.
31 mar 2026
April 30
53%
$21,706 Vol.
April 30
$14,604 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Vasylivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.357760° N, 37.038017° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have intensified assaults northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, targeting Vasylivka (48.357760° N, 37.038017° E) and nearby settlements like Hryshyne, Serhiivka, and Novooleksandrivka as part of the ongoing Kostyantynivka axis offensive. Ukrainian officials stated on March 31 that Vasiukivka remains under their control after repelling infantry and quad-bike attacks, debunking Russian claims of capture amid conflicting reports of advances in adjacent areas such as Sviato-Pokrovske. No verified entry into Vasylivka appears on ISW maps, which govern resolution; trader consensus weighs sustained Russian pressure against firm Ukrainian defenses. Daily ISW updates and frontline clashes could prompt rapid shifts ahead of April timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Vasylivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.357760° N, 37.038017° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:31 PM ET
Volumen
$21,706Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Vasylivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.357760° N, 37.038017° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have intensified assaults northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, targeting Vasylivka (48.357760° N, 37.038017° E) and nearby settlements like Hryshyne, Serhiivka, and Novooleksandrivka as part of the ongoing Kostyantynivka axis offensive. Ukrainian officials stated on March 31 that Vasiukivka remains under their control after repelling infantry and quad-bike attacks, debunking Russian claims of capture amid conflicting reports of advances in adjacent areas such as Sviato-Pokrovske. No verified entry into Vasylivka appears on ISW maps, which govern resolution; trader consensus weighs sustained Russian pressure against firm Ukrainian defenses. Daily ISW updates and frontline clashes could prompt rapid shifts ahead of April timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Vasylivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.357760° N, 37.038017° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,706Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Russian forces have intensified assaults northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, targeting Vasylivka (48.357760° N, 37.038017° E) and nearby settlements like Hryshyne, Serhiivka, and Novooleksandrivka as part of the ongoing Kostyantynivka axis offensive. Ukrainian officials stated on March 31 that Vasiukivka remains under their control after repelling infantry and quad-bike attacks, debunking Russian claims of capture amid conflicting reports of advances in adjacent areas such as Sviato-Pokrovske. No verified entry into Vasylivka appears on ISW maps, which govern resolution; trader consensus weighs sustained Russian pressure against firm Ukrainian defenses. Daily ISW updates and frontline clashes could prompt rapid shifts ahead of April timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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