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Política·Trump

¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?

Market icon
Política·Trump

¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?

$1,598,109 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$1,598,109 Vol.

Polymarket

Richard Branson

$51,908 Vol.

36%

Deepak Chopra

$11,841 Vol.

18%

Kevin Spacey

$27,886 Vol.

14%

Woody Allen

$12,830 Vol.

14%

Steve Bannon

$57,934 Vol.

12%

Steven Tisch

$4,728 Vol.

10%

Bill Clinton

$262,762 Vol.

8%

Noam Chomsky

$25,656 Vol.

8%

Bill Gates

$100,157 Vol.

7%

Bill Cosby

$8,860 Vol.

5%

Harvey Weinstein

$18,555 Vol.

5%

Michael Jackson

$155,063 Vol.

4%

Hillary Clinton

$39,800 Vol.

4%

Donald Trump

$132,138 Vol.

3%

Peter Attia

$6,969 Vol.

3%

Jay-Z

$578,487 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$80,862 Vol.

2%

Marco Rubio

$21,674 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. Department of Justice releases of millions of Epstein files since January 2026, including flight manifests to Little St. James and emails confirming visits by figures like Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick and Google co-founder Sergey Brin, have shaped trader consensus on this multi-outcome market resolving June 30. Richard Branson leads implied probabilities following March reports of his spokesperson acknowledging a 2013 island tour amid the disclosures, while others like Bill Clinton remain low amid his testimony denying entry and historical flight log ambiguities distinguishing plane trips from island landings. No arrests have followed despite fallout including resignations, per recent analyses, with congressional scrutiny via the Epstein Files Transparency Act and potential further data sets possibly shifting odds before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,598,109
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. Department of Justice releases of millions of Epstein files since January 2026, including flight manifests to Little St. James and emails confirming visits by figures like Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick and Google co-founder Sergey Brin, have shaped trader consensus on this multi-outcome market resolving June 30. Richard Branson leads implied probabilities following March reports of his spokesperson acknowledging a 2013 island tour amid the disclosures, while others like Bill Clinton remain low amid his testimony denying entry and historical flight log ambiguities distinguishing plane trips from island landings. No arrests have followed despite fallout including resignations, per recent analyses, with congressional scrutiny via the Epstein Files Transparency Act and potential further data sets possibly shifting odds before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,598,109
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 18 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Richard Branson" con 36%, seguido de "Deepak Chopra" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?" ha generado $1.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 12, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?", explora los 18 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?" es "Richard Branson" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Deepak Chopra" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.