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Política·Israel

¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?
Política·Israel

¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?

dic 31

dic 31

$625,087 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$625,087 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Estados Unidos

Estados Unidos

$16,213 Vol.

6%

icon for Italia

Italia

$15,147 Vol.

16%

icon for Países Bajos

Países Bajos

$49,466 Vol.

22%

icon for Japón

Japón

$39,871 Vol.

21%

icon for Alemania

Alemania

$66,254 Vol.

7%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$66,398 Vol.

25%

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$37,696 Vol.

12%

icon for Austria

Austria

$171,870 Vol.

1%

icon for Grecia

Grecia

$45,092 Vol.

10%

icon for Nueva Zelanda

Nueva Zelanda

$117,080 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.In the eight months since a major wave of diplomatic recognitions in September 2025—when the United Kingdom, France, Canada, Australia, Portugal, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, and others formally acknowledged Palestinian statehood, elevating the total to 157 of 193 UN member states—momentum has stalled amid geopolitical tensions and domestic opposition. Swiss lawmakers rejected a recognition proposal on April 28, 2026, underscoring hurdles in Western Europe, while holdouts like the US, Germany, Netherlands, Italy, and Japan cite concerns over negotiations, security, and alliance coordination. Trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for additional major recognitions before year-end 2026, with potential catalysts including UN General Assembly debates, bilateral summits, or shifts in Israeli-Palestinian peace talks.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$625,087
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.In the eight months since a major wave of diplomatic recognitions in September 2025—when the United Kingdom, France, Canada, Australia, Portugal, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, and others formally acknowledged Palestinian statehood, elevating the total to 157 of 193 UN member states—momentum has stalled amid geopolitical tensions and domestic opposition. Swiss lawmakers rejected a recognition proposal on April 28, 2026, underscoring hurdles in Western Europe, while holdouts like the US, Germany, Netherlands, Italy, and Japan cite concerns over negotiations, security, and alliance coordination. Trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for additional major recognitions before year-end 2026, with potential catalysts including UN General Assembly debates, bilateral summits, or shifts in Israeli-Palestinian peace talks.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$625,087
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Bélgica" con 25%, seguido de "Países Bajos" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 25¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?" ha generado $625.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?" es "Bélgica" con 25%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Países Bajos" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.