Trader consensus on Polymarket prices SpaceX's potential IPO valuation in the $1.50-2.00 trillion range, with $1.50-1.75T (29.5%) and $1.75-2.00T (29.0%) nearly tied, implying a 4-6x multiple on its recent $350 billion private tender valuation from early December 2024. This sentiment stems from Starship's seventh test flight success last month, enabling rapid reusability and bolstering revenue projections from launch contracts and Starlink's 4 million+ subscribers generating over $7 billion annualized run-rate. Competitive dominance—with 85% global launch market share—offsets risks from regulatory hurdles and Blue Origin rivalry, though Elon Musk's insistence on full Mars capability before IPO tempers upside. Key swing factors include upcoming Starship flights and possible Starlink spin-off in 2025.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado1,50-1,75T 30%
1,75-2,00 billones 29%
2,00-2,25T 13%
1.25-1.50T 10.3%
NEW
$38,444 Vol.
NEW
$38,444 Vol.
<1,25B
5%
1.25-1.50T
10%
1,50-1,75T
30%
1,75-2,00 billones
29%
2,00-2,25T
13%
2.25-2.50T
9%
2.50T+
7%
1,50-1,75T 30%
1,75-2,00 billones 29%
2,00-2,25T 13%
1.25-1.50T 10.3%
NEW
$38,444 Vol.
NEW
$38,444 Vol.
<1,25B
$9,810 Vol.
5%
1.25-1.50T
$7,853 Vol.
10%
1,50-1,75T
$3,505 Vol.
30%
1,75-2,00 billones
$2,771 Vol.
29%
2,00-2,25T
$2,599 Vol.
13%
2.25-2.50T
$5,882 Vol.
9%
2.50T+
$6,024 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices SpaceX's potential IPO valuation in the $1.50-2.00 trillion range, with $1.50-1.75T (29.5%) and $1.75-2.00T (29.0%) nearly tied, implying a 4-6x multiple on its recent $350 billion private tender valuation from early December 2024. This sentiment stems from Starship's seventh test flight success last month, enabling rapid reusability and bolstering revenue projections from launch contracts and Starlink's 4 million+ subscribers generating over $7 billion annualized run-rate. Competitive dominance—with 85% global launch market share—offsets risks from regulatory hurdles and Blue Origin rivalry, though Elon Musk's insistence on full Mars capability before IPO tempers upside. Key swing factors include upcoming Starship flights and possible Starlink spin-off in 2025.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$38,444Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices SpaceX's potential IPO valuation in the $1.50-2.00 trillion range, with $1.50-1.75T (29.5%) and $1.75-2.00T (29.0%) nearly tied, implying a 4-6x multiple on its recent $350 billion private tender valuation from early December 2024. This sentiment stems from Starship's seventh test flight success last month, enabling rapid reusability and bolstering revenue projections from launch contracts and Starlink's 4 million+ subscribers generating over $7 billion annualized run-rate. Competitive dominance—with 85% global launch market share—offsets risks from regulatory hurdles and Blue Origin rivalry, though Elon Musk's insistence on full Mars capability before IPO tempers upside. Key swing factors include upcoming Starship flights and possible Starlink spin-off in 2025.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$38,444Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices SpaceX's potential IPO valuation in the $1.50-2.00 trillion range, with $1.50-1.75T (29.5%) and $1.75-2.00T (29.0%) nearly tied, implying a 4-6x multiple on its recent $350 billion private tender valuation from early December 2024. This sentiment stems from Starship's seventh test flight success last month, enabling rapid reusability and bolstering revenue projections from launch contracts and Starlink's 4 million+ subscribers generating over $7 billion annualized run-rate. Competitive dominance—with 85% global launch market share—offsets risks from regulatory hurdles and Blue Origin rivalry, though Elon Musk's insistence on full Mars capability before IPO tempers upside. Key swing factors include upcoming Starship flights and possible Starlink spin-off in 2025.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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