Former Rep. Elaine Luria's dominant Q1 2026 fundraising—$1.75 million raised and $2 million cash-on-hand—announced early April, alongside DCCC Red to Blue program inclusion, has solidified trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4. Her prior incumbency, Navy veteran status, and Hampton Roads ties give her a clear edge in the crowded field targeting a flip of Republican Rep. Jen Kiggans' seat. James Osyf follows at 9.9% with $411,000 raised and national security experience, despite a prior campaign suspension. Matt Strickler's dropout last week likely accelerated consolidation behind Luria, while lower-profile challengers like Burk Stringfellow trail amid absent primary polls.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElaine Luria 86%
Burk Stringfellow 4.5%
Patrick Mosolf 2.5%
James Osyf 2.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
Elaine Luria
86%
Burk Stringfellow
5%
Patrick Mosolf
2%
James Osyf
20%
Matt Strickler
8%
Nicolaus Sleister
<1%
Nila Devanath
<1%
Elaine Luria 86%
Burk Stringfellow 4.5%
Patrick Mosolf 2.5%
James Osyf 2.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
Elaine Luria
$1,330 Vol.
86%
Burk Stringfellow
$616 Vol.
5%
Patrick Mosolf
$1,514 Vol.
2%
James Osyf
$1,112 Vol.
20%
Matt Strickler
$594 Vol.
8%
Nicolaus Sleister
$1,035 Vol.
<1%
Nila Devanath
$805 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Rep. Elaine Luria's dominant Q1 2026 fundraising—$1.75 million raised and $2 million cash-on-hand—announced early April, alongside DCCC Red to Blue program inclusion, has solidified trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4. Her prior incumbency, Navy veteran status, and Hampton Roads ties give her a clear edge in the crowded field targeting a flip of Republican Rep. Jen Kiggans' seat. James Osyf follows at 9.9% with $411,000 raised and national security experience, despite a prior campaign suspension. Matt Strickler's dropout last week likely accelerated consolidation behind Luria, while lower-profile challengers like Burk Stringfellow trail amid absent primary polls.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET
Volumen
$7,006Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Rep. Elaine Luria's dominant Q1 2026 fundraising—$1.75 million raised and $2 million cash-on-hand—announced early April, alongside DCCC Red to Blue program inclusion, has solidified trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4. Her prior incumbency, Navy veteran status, and Hampton Roads ties give her a clear edge in the crowded field targeting a flip of Republican Rep. Jen Kiggans' seat. James Osyf follows at 9.9% with $411,000 raised and national security experience, despite a prior campaign suspension. Matt Strickler's dropout last week likely accelerated consolidation behind Luria, while lower-profile challengers like Burk Stringfellow trail amid absent primary polls.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$7,006Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Rep. Elaine Luria's dominant Q1 2026 fundraising—$1.75 million raised and $2 million cash-on-hand—announced early April, alongside DCCC Red to Blue program inclusion, has solidified trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4. Her prior incumbency, Navy veteran status, and Hampton Roads ties give her a clear edge in the crowded field targeting a flip of Republican Rep. Jen Kiggans' seat. James Osyf follows at 9.9% with $411,000 raised and national security experience, despite a prior campaign suspension. Matt Strickler's dropout last week likely accelerated consolidation behind Luria, while lower-profile challengers like Burk Stringfellow trail amid absent primary polls.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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