Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91.5% implied probability to tech layoffs rising in 2026 over 2025's 447,000 total, fueled by Oracle's abrupt announcement of up to 30,000 job cuts this week to redirect capital toward AI infrastructure, capping a Q1 surge exceeding 85,000 roles lost across 200+ events at firms like Meta, Amazon, Atlassian, and Dell. Layoffs.fyi data shows a blistering 926 daily pace driven by artificial intelligence efficiencies, workforce optimization, and post-boom restructuring amid softening demand in cloud and SaaS sectors. While economic rebound or aggressive AI hiring could temper the trend, no such signals have materialized, sustaining strong conviction through Q2 earnings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoAumentarán
$10,387 Vol.
$10,387 Vol.
Aumentarán
$10,387 Vol.
$10,387 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91.5% implied probability to tech layoffs rising in 2026 over 2025's 447,000 total, fueled by Oracle's abrupt announcement of up to 30,000 job cuts this week to redirect capital toward AI infrastructure, capping a Q1 surge exceeding 85,000 roles lost across 200+ events at firms like Meta, Amazon, Atlassian, and Dell. Layoffs.fyi data shows a blistering 926 daily pace driven by artificial intelligence efficiencies, workforce optimization, and post-boom restructuring amid softening demand in cloud and SaaS sectors. While economic rebound or aggressive AI hiring could temper the trend, no such signals have materialized, sustaining strong conviction through Q2 earnings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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