Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Aubry Bracco at an 83.5% implied probability to win Survivor 50, driven by persistent spoiler leaks from the pre-taped season that have solidified her as the frontrunner among the 24 returning players, outpacing Cirie Fields (7.6%) and distant longshots like Rizo Velovic (2.0%). This skin-in-the-game sentiment, echoed on Kalshi, reflects insider-informed trading rather than on-air gameplay, as recent episode 6's dramatic Blood Moon twist—a historic triple elimination of Kamilla Karthigesu, Genevieve Mushaluk, and Colby Donaldson—trimmed the merge field to 14 without shifting odds. With 10 episodes typically left to the finale, late blindsides or edit misdirection remain upset risks, but markets show unwavering Aubry momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de Survivor 50
Ganador de Survivor 50
Aubry Bracco 84%
Cirie Fields 7.6%
Rizo Velovic 2.1%
Joe Hunter 1.5%
$802,916 Vol.
$802,916 Vol.
Aubry Bracco
84%
Cirie Fields
8%
Rizo Velovic
2%
Joe Hunter
2%
Ozzy Lusth
1%
Jonathan Young
1%
Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick
1%
Benjamin "Coach" Wade
1%
Christian Hubicki
<1%
Charlie Davis
<1%
Kamilla Karthigesu
<1%
Dee Valladares
<1%
Emily Flippen
<1%
Jenna Lewis-Dougherty
<1%
Mike White
<1%
Angelina Keeley
<1%
Genevieve Mushaluk
<1%
Quintavius "Q" Burdette
<1%
Tiffany Nicole Ervin
<1%
Chrissy Hofbeck
<1%
Rick Devens
<1%
Savannah Louie
<1%
Colby Donaldson
<1%
Kyle Fraser
<1%
Aubry Bracco 84%
Cirie Fields 7.6%
Rizo Velovic 2.1%
Joe Hunter 1.5%
$802,916 Vol.
$802,916 Vol.
Aubry Bracco
84%
Cirie Fields
8%
Rizo Velovic
2%
Joe Hunter
2%
Ozzy Lusth
1%
Jonathan Young
1%
Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick
1%
Benjamin "Coach" Wade
1%
Christian Hubicki
<1%
Charlie Davis
<1%
Kamilla Karthigesu
<1%
Dee Valladares
<1%
Emily Flippen
<1%
Jenna Lewis-Dougherty
<1%
Mike White
<1%
Angelina Keeley
<1%
Genevieve Mushaluk
<1%
Quintavius "Q" Burdette
<1%
Tiffany Nicole Ervin
<1%
Chrissy Hofbeck
<1%
Rick Devens
<1%
Savannah Louie
<1%
Colby Donaldson
<1%
Kyle Fraser
<1%
If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Mercado abierto: Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Aubry Bracco at an 83.5% implied probability to win Survivor 50, driven by persistent spoiler leaks from the pre-taped season that have solidified her as the frontrunner among the 24 returning players, outpacing Cirie Fields (7.6%) and distant longshots like Rizo Velovic (2.0%). This skin-in-the-game sentiment, echoed on Kalshi, reflects insider-informed trading rather than on-air gameplay, as recent episode 6's dramatic Blood Moon twist—a historic triple elimination of Kamilla Karthigesu, Genevieve Mushaluk, and Colby Donaldson—trimmed the merge field to 14 without shifting odds. With 10 episodes typically left to the finale, late blindsides or edit misdirection remain upset risks, but markets show unwavering Aubry momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes