Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion (51.5% implied probability), propelled by reports from The Information and Bloomberg last week indicating a confidential SEC filing as early as this week, targeting over $1.75 trillion valuation and a potential $75 billion raise—the largest U.S. IPO ever. Starlink's explosive growth as a global satellite internet constellation has driven this surge, with recent secondary share prices hitting $600+ and space stocks rallying 10–12% on the news. Lower odds for higher brackets reflect execution risks like market volatility and regulatory scrutiny, while Starship milestones and geopolitical demand for resilient comms infrastructure loom as key catalysts ahead of a possible June listing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$1.865T
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.8%
$1,219,881 Vol.
$1,219,881 Vol.
<1.0T
2%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
52%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
6%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3,5T+
3%
No IPO before 2028
3%
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.8%
$1,219,881 Vol.
$1,219,881 Vol.
<1.0T
$10,722 Vol.
2%
1.0T-1.5T
$7,292 Vol.
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$9,445 Vol.
52%
2.0T-2.5T
$9,079 Vol.
24%
2.5T-3.0T
$585,185 Vol.
6%
3.0T-3.5T
$376,474 Vol.
3%
3,5T+
$9,922 Vol.
3%
No IPO before 2028
$211,762 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion (51.5% implied probability), propelled by reports from The Information and Bloomberg last week indicating a confidential SEC filing as early as this week, targeting over $1.75 trillion valuation and a potential $75 billion raise—the largest U.S. IPO ever. Starlink's explosive growth as a global satellite internet constellation has driven this surge, with recent secondary share prices hitting $600+ and space stocks rallying 10–12% on the news. Lower odds for higher brackets reflect execution risks like market volatility and regulatory scrutiny, while Starship milestones and geopolitical demand for resilient comms infrastructure loom as key catalysts ahead of a possible June listing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volumen
$1,219,881Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion (51.5% implied probability), propelled by reports from The Information and Bloomberg last week indicating a confidential SEC filing as early as this week, targeting over $1.75 trillion valuation and a potential $75 billion raise—the largest U.S. IPO ever. Starlink's explosive growth as a global satellite internet constellation has driven this surge, with recent secondary share prices hitting $600+ and space stocks rallying 10–12% on the news. Lower odds for higher brackets reflect execution risks like market volatility and regulatory scrutiny, while Starship milestones and geopolitical demand for resilient comms infrastructure loom as key catalysts ahead of a possible June listing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$1,219,881Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion (51.5% implied probability), propelled by reports from The Information and Bloomberg last week indicating a confidential SEC filing as early as this week, targeting over $1.75 trillion valuation and a potential $75 billion raise—the largest U.S. IPO ever. Starlink's explosive growth as a global satellite internet constellation has driven this surge, with recent secondary share prices hitting $600+ and space stocks rallying 10–12% on the news. Lower odds for higher brackets reflect execution risks like market volatility and regulatory scrutiny, while Starship milestones and geopolitical demand for resilient comms infrastructure loom as key catalysts ahead of a possible June listing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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