SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1 has propelled trader consensus toward a closing market cap of $1.5–2.5 trillion, with 44.5% implied probability for $1.5–2.0T and 34.5% for $2.0–2.5T, reflecting targets reported at $1.75–2T+ amid a potential June listing that could raise $75 billion. The February merger with xAI, valuing the combined entity around $1.25 trillion, integrates AI compute ambitions like the TERAFAB project for terawatt-scale processing via Starship-launched orbital data centers, bolstering vertical integration of Starlink's satellite constellation and reusable rocketry. Recent Starship flight tests and frequent Falcon 9 launches underscore operational momentum, though final valuation hinges on SEC review, roadshow dynamics, and market conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$1,690,540 Vol.
$1,690,540 Vol.
<1,0T
2%
1,0T-1,5T
7%
1.5T-2.0T
45%
2.0T-2.5T
35%
2.5T-3.0T
6%
3.0T-3.5T
4%
3,5T+
1%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
3%
$1,690,540 Vol.
$1,690,540 Vol.
<1,0T
$34,951 Vol.
2%
1,0T-1,5T
$27,617 Vol.
7%
1.5T-2.0T
$42,676 Vol.
45%
2.0T-2.5T
$40,698 Vol.
35%
2.5T-3.0T
$792,231 Vol.
6%
3.0T-3.5T
$449,915 Vol.
4%
3,5T+
$45,312 Vol.
1%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
$257,141 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1 has propelled trader consensus toward a closing market cap of $1.5–2.5 trillion, with 44.5% implied probability for $1.5–2.0T and 34.5% for $2.0–2.5T, reflecting targets reported at $1.75–2T+ amid a potential June listing that could raise $75 billion. The February merger with xAI, valuing the combined entity around $1.25 trillion, integrates AI compute ambitions like the TERAFAB project for terawatt-scale processing via Starship-launched orbital data centers, bolstering vertical integration of Starlink's satellite constellation and reusable rocketry. Recent Starship flight tests and frequent Falcon 9 launches underscore operational momentum, though final valuation hinges on SEC review, roadshow dynamics, and market conditions.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volumen
$1,690,540Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1 has propelled trader consensus toward a closing market cap of $1.5–2.5 trillion, with 44.5% implied probability for $1.5–2.0T and 34.5% for $2.0–2.5T, reflecting targets reported at $1.75–2T+ amid a potential June listing that could raise $75 billion. The February merger with xAI, valuing the combined entity around $1.25 trillion, integrates AI compute ambitions like the TERAFAB project for terawatt-scale processing via Starship-launched orbital data centers, bolstering vertical integration of Starlink's satellite constellation and reusable rocketry. Recent Starship flight tests and frequent Falcon 9 launches underscore operational momentum, though final valuation hinges on SEC review, roadshow dynamics, and market conditions.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$1,690,540Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1 has propelled trader consensus toward a closing market cap of $1.5–2.5 trillion, with 44.5% implied probability for $1.5–2.0T and 34.5% for $2.0–2.5T, reflecting targets reported at $1.75–2T+ amid a potential June listing that could raise $75 billion. The February merger with xAI, valuing the combined entity around $1.25 trillion, integrates AI compute ambitions like the TERAFAB project for terawatt-scale processing via Starship-launched orbital data centers, bolstering vertical integration of Starlink's satellite constellation and reusable rocketry. Recent Starship flight tests and frequent Falcon 9 launches underscore operational momentum, though final valuation hinges on SEC review, roadshow dynamics, and market conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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