Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap in the $1.5T–$2.0T range at 51.5% implied probability, driven by reports from The Information and Bloomberg indicating the company aims to file for a public listing as soon as this week, potentially raising a record $75 billion at $1.5T–$1.75T valuations. This surge follows a December 2025 tender offer valuing SpaceX at $800 billion and Starlink's milestone of deploying over 10,000 satellites by mid-March, bolstering revenue projections near $16 billion for 2025 amid explosive satellite broadband demand. The next tier at 23.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T reflects optimistic hype around Starship reusability advancements and Mars ambitions, though regulatory filings and Musk's timeline history introduce execution risks ahead of a possible mid-2026 debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$1.865T
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.8%
$1,265,961 Vol.
$1,265,961 Vol.
<1.0T
2%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
52%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
6%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3,5T+
3%
No IPO before 2028
3%
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.8%
$1,265,961 Vol.
$1,265,961 Vol.
<1.0T
$10,722 Vol.
2%
1.0T-1.5T
$7,292 Vol.
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$9,453 Vol.
52%
2.0T-2.5T
$9,079 Vol.
24%
2.5T-3.0T
$585,185 Vol.
6%
3.0T-3.5T
$422,546 Vol.
3%
3,5T+
$9,922 Vol.
3%
No IPO before 2028
$211,762 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap in the $1.5T–$2.0T range at 51.5% implied probability, driven by reports from The Information and Bloomberg indicating the company aims to file for a public listing as soon as this week, potentially raising a record $75 billion at $1.5T–$1.75T valuations. This surge follows a December 2025 tender offer valuing SpaceX at $800 billion and Starlink's milestone of deploying over 10,000 satellites by mid-March, bolstering revenue projections near $16 billion for 2025 amid explosive satellite broadband demand. The next tier at 23.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T reflects optimistic hype around Starship reusability advancements and Mars ambitions, though regulatory filings and Musk's timeline history introduce execution risks ahead of a possible mid-2026 debut.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volumen
$1,265,961Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap in the $1.5T–$2.0T range at 51.5% implied probability, driven by reports from The Information and Bloomberg indicating the company aims to file for a public listing as soon as this week, potentially raising a record $75 billion at $1.5T–$1.75T valuations. This surge follows a December 2025 tender offer valuing SpaceX at $800 billion and Starlink's milestone of deploying over 10,000 satellites by mid-March, bolstering revenue projections near $16 billion for 2025 amid explosive satellite broadband demand. The next tier at 23.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T reflects optimistic hype around Starship reusability advancements and Mars ambitions, though regulatory filings and Musk's timeline history introduce execution risks ahead of a possible mid-2026 debut.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$1,265,961Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap in the $1.5T–$2.0T range at 51.5% implied probability, driven by reports from The Information and Bloomberg indicating the company aims to file for a public listing as soon as this week, potentially raising a record $75 billion at $1.5T–$1.75T valuations. This surge follows a December 2025 tender offer valuing SpaceX at $800 billion and Starlink's milestone of deploying over 10,000 satellites by mid-March, bolstering revenue projections near $16 billion for 2025 amid explosive satellite broadband demand. The next tier at 23.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T reflects optimistic hype around Starship reusability advancements and Mars ambitions, though regulatory filings and Musk's timeline history introduce execution risks ahead of a possible mid-2026 debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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