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Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 on Friday?

Market icon

Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 on Friday?

$273,550 Vol.

Nov 28, 2025
Polymarket

$273,550 Vol.

Polymarket

>10%

$32,361 Vol.

No

>15%

$91,394 Vol.

No

>20%

$73,426 Vol.

No

>25%

$76,368 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?' (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on November 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-10-friday or through the “Resolution” tab on with the time set to look at a specific four hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.comThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?' (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on November 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-15-friday or through the “Resolution” tab on with the time set to look at a specific four hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.comThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?' (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on November 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-20-friday or through the “Resolution” tab on with the time set to look at a specific four hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?' (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on November 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-25-friday or through the “Resolution” tab on with the time set to look at a specific four hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?' (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on November 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-10-friday or through the “Resolution” tab on with the time set to look at a specific four hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Volumen
$273,550
Fecha de finalización
Nov 28, 2025
Mercado abierto
Nov 27, 2025, 10:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?' (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on November 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-10-friday or through the “Resolution” tab on with the time set to look at a specific four hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?' (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on November 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-10-friday or through the “Resolution” tab on with the time set to look at a specific four hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.comThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?' (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on November 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-15-friday or through the “Resolution” tab on with the time set to look at a specific four hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.comThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?' (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on November 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-20-friday or through the “Resolution” tab on with the time set to look at a specific four hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?' (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on November 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-25-friday or through the “Resolution” tab on with the time set to look at a specific four hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 on Friday?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es ">10%" con 0%, seguido de ">15%" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 0¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 on Friday?" ha generado $273.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 26, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 on Friday?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 on Friday?" es ">10%" con solo 0%, con ">15%" muy cerca con 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 on Friday?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.