Russian forces continue assaults toward Verkhnia Tersa in Zaporizhzhia Oblast's Hulyaipole direction, with geolocated strikes and infantry probes reported west and northwest of the village as recently as March 27, per ISW assessments, but no territorial gains inside Verkhnia Tersa (47.695737° N, 36.084864° E) have been confirmed on ISW maps. Ukrainian reports note 150+ daily clashes in the sector, including heavy shelling earlier in March, while Russia deploys elite naval infantry and airborne units to pressure defenses amid Ukrainian counterstrikes on rear logistics. Traders track ISW daily updates for shading in Russian control or advance layers to resolve entry markets, with sustained fighting likely through late March primaries like March 31.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$102,077 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
31 de marzo
6%
30 de abril
37%
$102,077 Vol.
31 de marzo
$41,179 Vol.
6%
30 de abril
$595 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Verkhnia Tersa, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.695737° N, 36.084864° E) between market creation and the specified date 2026 (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue assaults toward Verkhnia Tersa in Zaporizhzhia Oblast's Hulyaipole direction, with geolocated strikes and infantry probes reported west and northwest of the village as recently as March 27, per ISW assessments, but no territorial gains inside Verkhnia Tersa (47.695737° N, 36.084864° E) have been confirmed on ISW maps. Ukrainian reports note 150+ daily clashes in the sector, including heavy shelling earlier in March, while Russia deploys elite naval infantry and airborne units to pressure defenses amid Ukrainian counterstrikes on rear logistics. Traders track ISW daily updates for shading in Russian control or advance layers to resolve entry markets, with sustained fighting likely through late March primaries like March 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Verkhnia Tersa, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.695737° N, 36.084864° E) between market creation and the specified date 2026 (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Feb 13, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Volumen
$102,077Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 13, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Verkhnia Tersa, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.695737° N, 36.084864° E) between market creation and the specified date 2026 (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue assaults toward Verkhnia Tersa in Zaporizhzhia Oblast's Hulyaipole direction, with geolocated strikes and infantry probes reported west and northwest of the village as recently as March 27, per ISW assessments, but no territorial gains inside Verkhnia Tersa (47.695737° N, 36.084864° E) have been confirmed on ISW maps. Ukrainian reports note 150+ daily clashes in the sector, including heavy shelling earlier in March, while Russia deploys elite naval infantry and airborne units to pressure defenses amid Ukrainian counterstrikes on rear logistics. Traders track ISW daily updates for shading in Russian control or advance layers to resolve entry markets, with sustained fighting likely through late March primaries like March 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Verkhnia Tersa, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.695737° N, 36.084864° E) between market creation and the specified date 2026 (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volumen
$102,077Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 13, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue assaults toward Verkhnia Tersa in Zaporizhzhia Oblast's Hulyaipole direction, with geolocated strikes and infantry probes reported west and northwest of the village as recently as March 27, per ISW assessments, but no territorial gains inside Verkhnia Tersa (47.695737° N, 36.084864° E) have been confirmed on ISW maps. Ukrainian reports note 150+ daily clashes in the sector, including heavy shelling earlier in March, while Russia deploys elite naval infantry and airborne units to pressure defenses amid Ukrainian counterstrikes on rear logistics. Traders track ISW daily updates for shading in Russian control or advance layers to resolve entry markets, with sustained fighting likely through late March primaries like March 31.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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