This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:

- Another US government shutdown
- Fed Rate Cut
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran
- Israel strikes Iran
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela
- U.S. invades a Latin American country
- US strike on Cuba
- US strike on Colombia
- Nicolás Maduro released from custody

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+January.pdf