Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 91.5% implied probability for the Nord Stream pipelines restarting before 2027, driven by the lingering effects of the September 2022 sabotage explosions that severely damaged both Nord Stream 1 and 2 under the Baltic Sea. Official investigations by Sweden and Denmark concluded without identifying perpetrators, while Germany's probe continues amid no announced repair timelines from operator Nord Stream AG, citing massive technical and financial hurdles. Politically, Germany nationalized Nord Stream 2 in 2022 and plans its sale, rejecting Russian gas resumption amid the Ukraine war, EU sanctions on Moscow, and accelerated energy diversification via LNG imports from the US and Norway. No recent diplomatic signals or Gazprom announcements indicate reversal, solidifying trader expectations despite remote escalation scenarios like peace talks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
Sí
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91..."Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 91.5% implied probability for the Nord Stream pipelines restarting before 2027, driven by the lingering effects of the September 2022 sabotage explosions that severely damaged both Nord Stream 1 and 2 under the Baltic Sea. Official investigations by Sweden and Denmark concluded without identifying perpetrators, while Germany's probe continues amid no announced repair timelines from operator Nord Stream AG, citing massive technical and financial hurdles. Politically, Germany nationalized Nord Stream 2 in 2022 and plans its sale, rejecting Russian gas resumption amid the Ukraine war, EU sanctions on Moscow, and accelerated energy diversification via LNG imports from the US and Norway. No recent diplomatic signals or Gazprom announcements indicate reversal, solidifying trader expectations despite remote escalation scenarios like peace talks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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