Polymarket traders price a ≥0.8% March monthly CPI print at 84.5% implied probability, reflecting strong consensus around persistent inflationary pressures after February's hotter-than-expected 0.4% m/m headline and 0.5% core services ex-housing rise. Recent catalysts include a March 14 producer price index (PPI) final demand up 0.6% m/m versus 0.3% consensus, fueling upward revisions in core goods and services forecasts, alongside Cleveland Fed nowcast at 0.75% m/m and resilient retail sales data underscoring consumer strength. Shelter costs continue lagging, propping base effects, while Fed speakers emphasize data-dependent policy amid sticky inflation above 2% target. Key focus ahead: April 10 CPI release, with core ex-food/energy as pivotal for FOMC rate path expectations. Downside risks from softer energy linger, but trader capital tilts heavily bullish on elevated reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado≥0,8% 85%
0.7% 12%
0.6% 1.9%
0.4% 1.4%
$491,529 Vol.
$491,529 Vol.
Apr 10, 2026
≤0.3%
1%
0.4%
1%
0.5%
1%
0.6%
2%
0.7%
12%
≥0,8%
85%
≥0,8% 85%
0.7% 12%
0.6% 1.9%
0.4% 1.4%
$491,529 Vol.
$491,529 Vol.
Apr 10, 2026
≤0.3%
$197,536 Vol.
1%
0.4%
$83,812 Vol.
1%
0.5%
$57,920 Vol.
1%
0.6%
$41,833 Vol.
2%
0.7%
$39,477 Vol.
12%
≥0,8%
$70,952 Vol.
85%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders price a ≥0.8% March monthly CPI print at 84.5% implied probability, reflecting strong consensus around persistent inflationary pressures after February's hotter-than-expected 0.4% m/m headline and 0.5% core services ex-housing rise. Recent catalysts include a March 14 producer price index (PPI) final demand up 0.6% m/m versus 0.3% consensus, fueling upward revisions in core goods and services forecasts, alongside Cleveland Fed nowcast at 0.75% m/m and resilient retail sales data underscoring consumer strength. Shelter costs continue lagging, propping base effects, while Fed speakers emphasize data-dependent policy amid sticky inflation above 2% target. Key focus ahead: April 10 CPI release, with core ex-food/energy as pivotal for FOMC rate path expectations. Downside risks from softer energy linger, but trader capital tilts heavily bullish on elevated reading.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ET
Volumen
$491,529Fecha de finalización
Apr 10, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders price a ≥0.8% March monthly CPI print at 84.5% implied probability, reflecting strong consensus around persistent inflationary pressures after February's hotter-than-expected 0.4% m/m headline and 0.5% core services ex-housing rise. Recent catalysts include a March 14 producer price index (PPI) final demand up 0.6% m/m versus 0.3% consensus, fueling upward revisions in core goods and services forecasts, alongside Cleveland Fed nowcast at 0.75% m/m and resilient retail sales data underscoring consumer strength. Shelter costs continue lagging, propping base effects, while Fed speakers emphasize data-dependent policy amid sticky inflation above 2% target. Key focus ahead: April 10 CPI release, with core ex-food/energy as pivotal for FOMC rate path expectations. Downside risks from softer energy linger, but trader capital tilts heavily bullish on elevated reading.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$491,529Fecha de finalización
Apr 10, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a ≥0.8% March monthly CPI print at 84.5% implied probability, reflecting strong consensus around persistent inflationary pressures after February's hotter-than-expected 0.4% m/m headline and 0.5% core services ex-housing rise. Recent catalysts include a March 14 producer price index (PPI) final demand up 0.6% m/m versus 0.3% consensus, fueling upward revisions in core goods and services forecasts, alongside Cleveland Fed nowcast at 0.75% m/m and resilient retail sales data underscoring consumer strength. Shelter costs continue lagging, propping base effects, while Fed speakers emphasize data-dependent policy amid sticky inflation above 2% target. Key focus ahead: April 10 CPI release, with core ex-food/energy as pivotal for FOMC rate path expectations. Downside risks from softer energy linger, but trader capital tilts heavily bullish on elevated reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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