Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 34°C in Singapore on April 1, 2026, backed by real-time National Environment Agency (NEA) observations showing peaks around 33-34°C at key stations like Changi Meteorological Station—the likely resolution reference—amid persistent afternoon thundery showers under emerging inter-monsoon conditions. These light winds and cloud cover capped intensities below recent late-March highs of 35.4°C at Sembawang on March 30, aligning with NEA's fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33-35°C during this wetter period. While climatological norms for equatorial Singapore support highs near 33°C in April, elevated baseline heat from recent ENSO-neutral transition reinforces warmth; a late-evening clear spell or measurement revision at Changi could challenge this, though probabilities for 35°C or higher remain negligible as the day progresses. Final NEA daily records expected soon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on April 1?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 1?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$180,677 Vol.
$180,677 Vol.
1 abr 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$180,677 Vol.
$180,677 Vol.
1 abr 2026
26°C or below
$3,985 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,608 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,848 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,878 Vol.
No
30°C
$15,394 Vol.
No
31°C
$32,879 Vol.
No
32°C
$22,179 Vol.
No
33°C
$22,323 Vol.
No
34°C
$43,679 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$17,061 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$11,844 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 34°C in Singapore on April 1, 2026, backed by real-time National Environment Agency (NEA) observations showing peaks around 33-34°C at key stations like Changi Meteorological Station—the likely resolution reference—amid persistent afternoon thundery showers under emerging inter-monsoon conditions. These light winds and cloud cover capped intensities below recent late-March highs of 35.4°C at Sembawang on March 30, aligning with NEA's fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33-35°C during this wetter period. While climatological norms for equatorial Singapore support highs near 33°C in April, elevated baseline heat from recent ENSO-neutral transition reinforces warmth; a late-evening clear spell or measurement revision at Changi could challenge this, though probabilities for 35°C or higher remain negligible as the day progresses. Final NEA daily records expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volumen
$180,677Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 34°C in Singapore on April 1, 2026, backed by real-time National Environment Agency (NEA) observations showing peaks around 33-34°C at key stations like Changi Meteorological Station—the likely resolution reference—amid persistent afternoon thundery showers under emerging inter-monsoon conditions. These light winds and cloud cover capped intensities below recent late-March highs of 35.4°C at Sembawang on March 30, aligning with NEA's fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33-35°C during this wetter period. While climatological norms for equatorial Singapore support highs near 33°C in April, elevated baseline heat from recent ENSO-neutral transition reinforces warmth; a late-evening clear spell or measurement revision at Changi could challenge this, though probabilities for 35°C or higher remain negligible as the day progresses. Final NEA daily records expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$180,677Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 34°C in Singapore on April 1, 2026, backed by real-time National Environment Agency (NEA) observations showing peaks around 33-34°C at key stations like Changi Meteorological Station—the likely resolution reference—amid persistent afternoon thundery showers under emerging inter-monsoon conditions. These light winds and cloud cover capped intensities below recent late-March highs of 35.4°C at Sembawang on March 30, aligning with NEA's fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33-35°C during this wetter period. While climatological norms for equatorial Singapore support highs near 33°C in April, elevated baseline heat from recent ENSO-neutral transition reinforces warmth; a late-evening clear spell or measurement revision at Changi could challenge this, though probabilities for 35°C or higher remain negligible as the day progresses. Final NEA daily records expected soon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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