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Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

$304,712 Vol.

Polymarket

$304,712 Vol.

22°C

$45,323 Vol.

100%

23°C or higher

$78,021 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Shanghai on March 30 (99.9% implied probability), anchored by real-time observations from the official Xujiahui observatory, where afternoon readings peaked at this mark amid partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds enhancing solar heating. This outcome exceeds the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C, driven by a persistent warm air mass over eastern China from recent high-pressure ridging, consistent with prior days' verified highs around 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models converged on 20–22°C prior to peak confirmation. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and a sharp insolation spike late afternoon before sunset, though northwest winds and reduced daylight now suppress further rises, aligning with skin-in-the-game trader positioning.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Shanghai on March 30 (99.9% implied probability), anchored by real-time observations from the official Xujiahui observatory, where afternoon readings peaked at this mark amid partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds enhancing solar heating. This outcome exceeds the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C, driven by a persistent warm air mass over eastern China from recent high-pressure ridging, consistent with prior days' verified highs around 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models converged on 20–22°C prior to peak confirmation. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and a sharp insolation spike late afternoon before sunset, though northwest winds and reduced daylight now suppress further rises, aligning with skin-in-the-game trader positioning.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Shanghai on March 30 (99.9% implied probability), anchored by real-time observations from the official Xujiahui observatory, where afternoon readings peaked at this mark amid partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds enhancing solar heating. This outcome exceeds the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C, driven by a persistent warm air mass over eastern China from recent high-pressure ridging, consistent with prior days' verified highs around 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models converged on 20–22°C prior to peak confirmation. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and a sharp insolation spike late afternoon before sunset, though northwest winds and reduced daylight now suppress further rises, aligning with skin-in-the-game trader positioning.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Shanghai on March 30 (99.9% implied probability), anchored by real-time observations from the official Xujiahui observatory, where afternoon readings peaked at this mark amid partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds enhancing solar heating. This outcome exceeds the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C, driven by a persistent warm air mass over eastern China from recent high-pressure ridging, consistent with prior days' verified highs around 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models converged on 20–22°C prior to peak confirmation. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and a sharp insolation spike late afternoon before sunset, though northwest winds and reduced daylight now suppress further rises, aligning with skin-in-the-game trader positioning.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "22°C" con 100%, seguido de "23°C or higher" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?" ha generado $304.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 29, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?" es "22°C" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "23°C or higher" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.