Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 18°C at 41.5% implied probability for Milan's highest temperature today at Milano Malpensa Airport, driven by the latest forecasts from Italian services like IlMeteo.it projecting exactly 18°C under mostly sunny morning conditions transitioning to partly cloudy afternoons, with minimums around 6°C. Yesterday's confirmed 18°C high establishes a recent baseline amid a progressive temperature recovery noted in ARPA Lombardia's March 27 bulletin, supported by mild high-pressure influence and light southerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Close odds for 17°C (23.5%) and 19°C (24%) reflect model uncertainty in peak timing and cloud variability, with real-time airport observations set to resolve the market as the day progresses. Historical late-March averages hover near 15°C, underscoring the current warmer-than-normal pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on March 30?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 30?
18°C 42%
17°C 25%
19°C 24%
16°C 7.0%
NEW
$10,329 Vol.
NEW
$10,329 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
7%
17°C
25%
18°C
42%
19°C
24%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 42%
17°C 25%
19°C 24%
16°C 7.0%
NEW
$10,329 Vol.
NEW
$10,329 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
13°C or below
$1,179 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$666 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,242 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,517 Vol.
7%
17°C
$827 Vol.
25%
18°C
$835 Vol.
42%
19°C
$1,226 Vol.
24%
20°C
$1,257 Vol.
6%
21°C
$630 Vol.
2%
22°C
$436 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$609 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 18°C at 41.5% implied probability for Milan's highest temperature today at Milano Malpensa Airport, driven by the latest forecasts from Italian services like IlMeteo.it projecting exactly 18°C under mostly sunny morning conditions transitioning to partly cloudy afternoons, with minimums around 6°C. Yesterday's confirmed 18°C high establishes a recent baseline amid a progressive temperature recovery noted in ARPA Lombardia's March 27 bulletin, supported by mild high-pressure influence and light southerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Close odds for 17°C (23.5%) and 19°C (24%) reflect model uncertainty in peak timing and cloud variability, with real-time airport observations set to resolve the market as the day progresses. Historical late-March averages hover near 15°C, underscoring the current warmer-than-normal pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volumen
$10,329Fecha de finalización
Mar 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 18°C at 41.5% implied probability for Milan's highest temperature today at Milano Malpensa Airport, driven by the latest forecasts from Italian services like IlMeteo.it projecting exactly 18°C under mostly sunny morning conditions transitioning to partly cloudy afternoons, with minimums around 6°C. Yesterday's confirmed 18°C high establishes a recent baseline amid a progressive temperature recovery noted in ARPA Lombardia's March 27 bulletin, supported by mild high-pressure influence and light southerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Close odds for 17°C (23.5%) and 19°C (24%) reflect model uncertainty in peak timing and cloud variability, with real-time airport observations set to resolve the market as the day progresses. Historical late-March averages hover near 15°C, underscoring the current warmer-than-normal pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,329Fecha de finalización
Mar 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 18°C at 41.5% implied probability for Milan's highest temperature today at Milano Malpensa Airport, driven by the latest forecasts from Italian services like IlMeteo.it projecting exactly 18°C under mostly sunny morning conditions transitioning to partly cloudy afternoons, with minimums around 6°C. Yesterday's confirmed 18°C high establishes a recent baseline amid a progressive temperature recovery noted in ARPA Lombardia's March 27 bulletin, supported by mild high-pressure influence and light southerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Close odds for 17°C (23.5%) and 19°C (24%) reflect model uncertainty in peak timing and cloud variability, with real-time airport observations set to resolve the market as the day progresses. Historical late-March averages hover near 15°C, underscoring the current warmer-than-normal pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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