Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Seoul's highest temperature on April 2, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 12–16°C following the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) March 30 mid-term forecast pegging a 16°C high under mostly cloudy skies and 30% precipitation chance. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation and light southerly winds aiding mild advection, against a backdrop of early spring's retreating Siberian high and East Asian monsoon influences; recent KMA short-range updates show daytime peaks near 17–18°C in model runs, but historical analogs for early April average 14–16°C with notable day-to-day swings. Watch for today's KMA hourly forecast refresh and surface observations as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
15°C 24%
16°C or higher 18.6%
14°C 18%
13°C 17%
$50,813 Vol.
$50,813 Vol.
2 abr 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
3%
11°C
11%
12°C
15%
13°C
17%
14°C
18%
15°C
24%
16°C or higher
19%
15°C 24%
16°C or higher 18.6%
14°C 18%
13°C 17%
$50,813 Vol.
$50,813 Vol.
2 abr 2026
6°C or below
$19,502 Vol.
1%
7°C
$2,961 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$3,249 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$4,393 Vol.
3%
10°C
$3,453 Vol.
3%
11°C
$2,645 Vol.
11%
12°C
$2,130 Vol.
15%
13°C
$2,703 Vol.
17%
14°C
$1,702 Vol.
18%
15°C
$2,382 Vol.
24%
16°C or higher
$5,726 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Seoul's highest temperature on April 2, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 12–16°C following the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) March 30 mid-term forecast pegging a 16°C high under mostly cloudy skies and 30% precipitation chance. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation and light southerly winds aiding mild advection, against a backdrop of early spring's retreating Siberian high and East Asian monsoon influences; recent KMA short-range updates show daytime peaks near 17–18°C in model runs, but historical analogs for early April average 14–16°C with notable day-to-day swings. Watch for today's KMA hourly forecast refresh and surface observations as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
Volumen
$50,813Fecha de finalización
2 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Seoul's highest temperature on April 2, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 12–16°C following the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) March 30 mid-term forecast pegging a 16°C high under mostly cloudy skies and 30% precipitation chance. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation and light southerly winds aiding mild advection, against a backdrop of early spring's retreating Siberian high and East Asian monsoon influences; recent KMA short-range updates show daytime peaks near 17–18°C in model runs, but historical analogs for early April average 14–16°C with notable day-to-day swings. Watch for today's KMA hourly forecast refresh and surface observations as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$50,813Fecha de finalización
2 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Seoul's highest temperature on April 2, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 12–16°C following the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) March 30 mid-term forecast pegging a 16°C high under mostly cloudy skies and 30% precipitation chance. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation and light southerly winds aiding mild advection, against a backdrop of early spring's retreating Siberian high and East Asian monsoon influences; recent KMA short-range updates show daytime peaks near 17–18°C in model runs, but historical analogs for early April average 14–16°C with notable day-to-day swings. Watch for today's KMA hourly forecast refresh and surface observations as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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