Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 25–27°C for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range weather forecasts amid autumnal cooling trends. Latest INMET and CPTEC guidance indicates highs near 26°C, driven by partial cloud cover and increasing rain probabilities from a spreading storm system over southeastern Brazil, observed intensifying in the past 24 hours per recent advisories. Differentiating factors include timing of convective showers—early clearing could allow urban heat island effects to push toward 27°C, while persistent moisture advection caps at 25°C—against historical early-April averages of 25–26°C. Evening forecast refinements and real-time station data from Mirante de Santana will likely resolve ambiguities before market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 1?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 1?
26°C 34%
27°C 29%
25°C 18%
24°C 13.5%
$50,420 Vol.
$50,420 Vol.
1 abr 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
18%
26°C
34%
27°C
29%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 34%
27°C 29%
25°C 18%
24°C 13.5%
$50,420 Vol.
$50,420 Vol.
1 abr 2026
20°C or below
$4,310 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,917 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,111 Vol.
1%
23°C
$3,339 Vol.
4%
24°C
$8,016 Vol.
13%
25°C
$6,123 Vol.
18%
26°C
$4,298 Vol.
34%
27°C
$5,132 Vol.
29%
28°C
$3,958 Vol.
8%
29°C
$4,227 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$5,109 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 25–27°C for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range weather forecasts amid autumnal cooling trends. Latest INMET and CPTEC guidance indicates highs near 26°C, driven by partial cloud cover and increasing rain probabilities from a spreading storm system over southeastern Brazil, observed intensifying in the past 24 hours per recent advisories. Differentiating factors include timing of convective showers—early clearing could allow urban heat island effects to push toward 27°C, while persistent moisture advection caps at 25°C—against historical early-April averages of 25–26°C. Evening forecast refinements and real-time station data from Mirante de Santana will likely resolve ambiguities before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
Volumen
$50,420Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:40 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 25–27°C for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range weather forecasts amid autumnal cooling trends. Latest INMET and CPTEC guidance indicates highs near 26°C, driven by partial cloud cover and increasing rain probabilities from a spreading storm system over southeastern Brazil, observed intensifying in the past 24 hours per recent advisories. Differentiating factors include timing of convective showers—early clearing could allow urban heat island effects to push toward 27°C, while persistent moisture advection caps at 25°C—against historical early-April averages of 25–26°C. Evening forecast refinements and real-time station data from Mirante de Santana will likely resolve ambiguities before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$50,420Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:40 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 25–27°C for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range weather forecasts amid autumnal cooling trends. Latest INMET and CPTEC guidance indicates highs near 26°C, driven by partial cloud cover and increasing rain probabilities from a spreading storm system over southeastern Brazil, observed intensifying in the past 24 hours per recent advisories. Differentiating factors include timing of convective showers—early clearing could allow urban heat island effects to push toward 27°C, while persistent moisture advection caps at 25°C—against historical early-April averages of 25–26°C. Evening forecast refinements and real-time station data from Mirante de Santana will likely resolve ambiguities before market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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