Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in forecast models for São Paulo's highest temperature today, April 1, with 26°C (34.5%) slightly leading 27°C (28.5%) amid partly cloudy to rainy conditions per INMET and international guidance like ECMWF/GFS ensembles. Recent INMET updates highlight increased rain probabilities and coastal sea breeze influences moderating peaks, capping implied odds below 28°C while urban heat island effects and potential afternoon clearing differentiate 25°C (17.0%) from higher outcomes. April climatology averages 25-26°C maxima, but early autumn warmth has nudged models upward; genuine short-range uncertainty persists until hourly observations from official stations like Congonhas Airport confirm the peak amid variable cloud cover.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 1?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 1?
26°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 18%
24°C 10.8%
$50,719 Vol.
$50,719 Vol.
1 abr 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
18%
26°C
36%
27°C
29%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 18%
24°C 10.8%
$50,719 Vol.
$50,719 Vol.
1 abr 2026
20°C or below
$4,310 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,086 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,222 Vol.
1%
23°C
$3,366 Vol.
4%
24°C
$8,104 Vol.
11%
25°C
$6,123 Vol.
18%
26°C
$4,305 Vol.
36%
27°C
$5,132 Vol.
29%
28°C
$3,958 Vol.
8%
29°C
$4,227 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$5,114 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in forecast models for São Paulo's highest temperature today, April 1, with 26°C (34.5%) slightly leading 27°C (28.5%) amid partly cloudy to rainy conditions per INMET and international guidance like ECMWF/GFS ensembles. Recent INMET updates highlight increased rain probabilities and coastal sea breeze influences moderating peaks, capping implied odds below 28°C while urban heat island effects and potential afternoon clearing differentiate 25°C (17.0%) from higher outcomes. April climatology averages 25-26°C maxima, but early autumn warmth has nudged models upward; genuine short-range uncertainty persists until hourly observations from official stations like Congonhas Airport confirm the peak amid variable cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
Volumen
$50,719Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:40 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in forecast models for São Paulo's highest temperature today, April 1, with 26°C (34.5%) slightly leading 27°C (28.5%) amid partly cloudy to rainy conditions per INMET and international guidance like ECMWF/GFS ensembles. Recent INMET updates highlight increased rain probabilities and coastal sea breeze influences moderating peaks, capping implied odds below 28°C while urban heat island effects and potential afternoon clearing differentiate 25°C (17.0%) from higher outcomes. April climatology averages 25-26°C maxima, but early autumn warmth has nudged models upward; genuine short-range uncertainty persists until hourly observations from official stations like Congonhas Airport confirm the peak amid variable cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$50,719Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:40 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in forecast models for São Paulo's highest temperature today, April 1, with 26°C (34.5%) slightly leading 27°C (28.5%) amid partly cloudy to rainy conditions per INMET and international guidance like ECMWF/GFS ensembles. Recent INMET updates highlight increased rain probabilities and coastal sea breeze influences moderating peaks, capping implied odds below 28°C while urban heat island effects and potential afternoon clearing differentiate 25°C (17.0%) from higher outcomes. April climatology averages 25-26°C maxima, but early autumn warmth has nudged models upward; genuine short-range uncertainty persists until hourly observations from official stations like Congonhas Airport confirm the peak amid variable cloud cover.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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