Met Office's latest update at 2:45pm BST forecasts London's highest temperature today at 16°C between 3-6pm, under overcast skies with possible light showers and southwesterly winds gusting to 32mph, aligning with the market's 90.6% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus reflects real-time model outputs and observations. Persistent cloud cover from a westerly flow limits solar insolation despite mild air masses, keeping peaks below recent March highs near 19°C while above April climatological averages of 13-14°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected sunny intervals boosting to 17°C or higher (11.5% odds) via enhanced heating, or prolonged rain capping at 15°C; hourly monitoring from Heathrow will finalize the official maximum by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on April 3?
Highest temperature in London on April 3?
16°C 89.9%
17°C or higher 10.6%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$330,012 Vol.
$330,012 Vol.
3 abr 2026
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
90%
17°C or higher
11%
16°C 89.9%
17°C or higher 10.6%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$330,012 Vol.
$330,012 Vol.
3 abr 2026
13°C
$45,153 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$57,296 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$78,412 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$33,250 Vol.
90%
17°C or higher
$34,940 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office's latest update at 2:45pm BST forecasts London's highest temperature today at 16°C between 3-6pm, under overcast skies with possible light showers and southwesterly winds gusting to 32mph, aligning with the market's 90.6% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus reflects real-time model outputs and observations. Persistent cloud cover from a westerly flow limits solar insolation despite mild air masses, keeping peaks below recent March highs near 19°C while above April climatological averages of 13-14°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected sunny intervals boosting to 17°C or higher (11.5% odds) via enhanced heating, or prolonged rain capping at 15°C; hourly monitoring from Heathrow will finalize the official maximum by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
Volumen
$330,012Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 4:34 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office's latest update at 2:45pm BST forecasts London's highest temperature today at 16°C between 3-6pm, under overcast skies with possible light showers and southwesterly winds gusting to 32mph, aligning with the market's 90.6% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus reflects real-time model outputs and observations. Persistent cloud cover from a westerly flow limits solar insolation despite mild air masses, keeping peaks below recent March highs near 19°C while above April climatological averages of 13-14°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected sunny intervals boosting to 17°C or higher (11.5% odds) via enhanced heating, or prolonged rain capping at 15°C; hourly monitoring from Heathrow will finalize the official maximum by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$330,012Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 4:34 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office's latest update at 2:45pm BST forecasts London's highest temperature today at 16°C between 3-6pm, under overcast skies with possible light showers and southwesterly winds gusting to 32mph, aligning with the market's 90.6% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus reflects real-time model outputs and observations. Persistent cloud cover from a westerly flow limits solar insolation despite mild air masses, keeping peaks below recent March highs near 19°C while above April climatological averages of 13-14°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected sunny intervals boosting to 17°C or higher (11.5% odds) via enhanced heating, or prolonged rain capping at 15°C; hourly monitoring from Heathrow will finalize the official maximum by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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