Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 1, with MGM hourly guidance peaking at 17°C between 12-15 local time under partly cloudy skies and light 9 km/h winds, following an overnight low of 6°C. Ensemble outputs from ECMWF and GFS models cluster around 15-17°C, consistent with early April continental climate averages of 16°C highs amid gradual spring warming and moderate diurnal ranges. Differentiation hinges on cloud evolution suppressing peaks to 16°C or clearer insolation pushing 17°C+; cooler 15°C requires unexpected advection. Monitor MGM real-time observations and afternoon updates as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?
16°C 38%
17°C or higher 38%
15°C 22%
14°C 4.5%
$134,467 Vol.
$134,467 Vol.
1 abr 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
22%
16°C
38%
17°C or higher
38%
16°C 38%
17°C or higher 38%
15°C 22%
14°C 4.5%
$134,467 Vol.
$134,467 Vol.
1 abr 2026
7°C or below
$19,579 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$14,712 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$26,620 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$14,201 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$11,092 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$5,021 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$13,282 Vol.
1%
14°C
$10,063 Vol.
4%
15°C
$6,150 Vol.
22%
16°C
$5,003 Vol.
38%
17°C or higher
$8,743 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 1, with MGM hourly guidance peaking at 17°C between 12-15 local time under partly cloudy skies and light 9 km/h winds, following an overnight low of 6°C. Ensemble outputs from ECMWF and GFS models cluster around 15-17°C, consistent with early April continental climate averages of 16°C highs amid gradual spring warming and moderate diurnal ranges. Differentiation hinges on cloud evolution suppressing peaks to 16°C or clearer insolation pushing 17°C+; cooler 15°C requires unexpected advection. Monitor MGM real-time observations and afternoon updates as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 28, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Volumen
$134,467Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 28, 2026, 6:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 1, with MGM hourly guidance peaking at 17°C between 12-15 local time under partly cloudy skies and light 9 km/h winds, following an overnight low of 6°C. Ensemble outputs from ECMWF and GFS models cluster around 15-17°C, consistent with early April continental climate averages of 16°C highs amid gradual spring warming and moderate diurnal ranges. Differentiation hinges on cloud evolution suppressing peaks to 16°C or clearer insolation pushing 17°C+; cooler 15°C requires unexpected advection. Monitor MGM real-time observations and afternoon updates as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$134,467Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 28, 2026, 6:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 1, with MGM hourly guidance peaking at 17°C between 12-15 local time under partly cloudy skies and light 9 km/h winds, following an overnight low of 6°C. Ensemble outputs from ECMWF and GFS models cluster around 15-17°C, consistent with early April continental climate averages of 16°C highs amid gradual spring warming and moderate diurnal ranges. Differentiation hinges on cloud evolution suppressing peaks to 16°C or clearer insolation pushing 17°C+; cooler 15°C requires unexpected advection. Monitor MGM real-time observations and afternoon updates as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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