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¿La película más taquillera de 2026?

Market icon

¿La película más taquillera de 2026?

dic 31

dic 31

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 40%

La película de Super Mario Galaxy 33%

Avengers: Doomsday 16%

La Odisea 4.9%

Polymarket

$2,610,410 Vol.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 40%

La película de Super Mario Galaxy 33%

Avengers: Doomsday 16%

La Odisea 4.9%

Polymarket

$2,610,410 Vol.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

$104,687 Vol.

40%

La película de Super Mario Galaxy

$96,212 Vol.

33%

Avengers: Doomsday

$146,045 Vol.

16%

La Odisea

$329,846 Vol.

5%

Toy Story 5

$137,164 Vol.

2%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu

$105,115 Vol.

1%

Michael

$557,399 Vol.

1%

Dune: Messiah

$194,140 Vol.

1%

Proyecto Hail Mary

$165,708 Vol.

1%

Los Juegos del Hambre: Amanecer en la Cosecha

$208,379 Vol.

1%

Cumbres Borrascosas

$120,244 Vol.

<1%

Jumanji 3

$70,255 Vol.

<1%

Wicked: For Good

$286,519 Vol.

<1%

Scream 7

$88,698 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Spider-Man: Brand New Day as the frontrunner for 2026's highest-grossing film at 40% implied probability, propelled by its record-shattering trailer drop this week that ignited massive online buzz and reinforced projections near $1.3 billion worldwide from its July 31 summer slot. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie trails closely at 32.5%, buoyed by stellar tracking for a $145-160 million domestic opening this weekend following its Kyoto premiere, capitalizing on Nintendo's family draw and the prior film's billion-dollar legs, though analysts question its endurance against bigger tentpoles. Avengers: Doomsday lags at 15.5% amid a crowded December release clashing with Dune: Messiah. Differentiators include Spider-Man's YA appeal and international muscle versus Mario's all-ages debut fireworks, with the animated sequel's box office performance over the next month poised to swing the race.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$2,610,410
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Spider-Man: Brand New Day as the frontrunner for 2026's highest-grossing film at 40% implied probability, propelled by its record-shattering trailer drop this week that ignited massive online buzz and reinforced projections near $1.3 billion worldwide from its July 31 summer slot. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie trails closely at 32.5%, buoyed by stellar tracking for a $145-160 million domestic opening this weekend following its Kyoto premiere, capitalizing on Nintendo's family draw and the prior film's billion-dollar legs, though analysts question its endurance against bigger tentpoles. Avengers: Doomsday lags at 15.5% amid a crowded December release clashing with Dune: Messiah. Differentiators include Spider-Man's YA appeal and international muscle versus Mario's all-ages debut fireworks, with the animated sequel's box office performance over the next month poised to swing the race.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$2,610,410
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La película más taquillera de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 14 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" con 40%, seguido de "La película de Super Mario Galaxy" con 33%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 40¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La película más taquillera de 2026?" ha generado $2.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 12, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La película más taquillera de 2026?", explora los 14 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La película más taquillera de 2026?" es "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" con 40%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "La película de Super Mario Galaxy" con 33%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La película más taquillera de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.