Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's legal battles, with 10-20 years at 30.4% edging out no prison time at 26.2%, driven by his standing 16-year California rape conviction amid an ongoing appeal, contrasted by April's New York appeals court overturn of his 2020 conviction due to evidentiary errors, paving the way for a retrial. Recent pretrial hearings in Manhattan have denied bail and set a potential early 2025 trial date, while Weinstein's multiple hospitalizations for health issues in August-September underscore his frail condition at 72, fueling debate on time served or compassionate release. Competitive dynamics hinge on appeal outcomes and trial results, with no clear frontrunner as traders weigh #MeToo accountability against procedural reversals and judicial delays.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
10-20 años 32.0%
Sin tiempo en prisión 26.2%
20-30 años 22.5%
5-10 años 8.2%
$681,556 Vol.
$681,556 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
26%
<5 años
5%
5-10 años
8%
10-20 años
32%
20-30 años
22%
Más de 30 años
4%
10-20 años 32.0%
Sin tiempo en prisión 26.2%
20-30 años 22.5%
5-10 años 8.2%
$681,556 Vol.
$681,556 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
$291,741 Vol.
26%
<5 años
$48,755 Vol.
5%
5-10 años
$34,695 Vol.
8%
10-20 años
$120,864 Vol.
32%
20-30 años
$151,065 Vol.
22%
Más de 30 años
$34,437 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's legal battles, with 10-20 years at 30.4% edging out no prison time at 26.2%, driven by his standing 16-year California rape conviction amid an ongoing appeal, contrasted by April's New York appeals court overturn of his 2020 conviction due to evidentiary errors, paving the way for a retrial. Recent pretrial hearings in Manhattan have denied bail and set a potential early 2025 trial date, while Weinstein's multiple hospitalizations for health issues in August-September underscore his frail condition at 72, fueling debate on time served or compassionate release. Competitive dynamics hinge on appeal outcomes and trial results, with no clear frontrunner as traders weigh #MeToo accountability against procedural reversals and judicial delays.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volumen
$681,556Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's legal battles, with 10-20 years at 30.4% edging out no prison time at 26.2%, driven by his standing 16-year California rape conviction amid an ongoing appeal, contrasted by April's New York appeals court overturn of his 2020 conviction due to evidentiary errors, paving the way for a retrial. Recent pretrial hearings in Manhattan have denied bail and set a potential early 2025 trial date, while Weinstein's multiple hospitalizations for health issues in August-September underscore his frail condition at 72, fueling debate on time served or compassionate release. Competitive dynamics hinge on appeal outcomes and trial results, with no clear frontrunner as traders weigh #MeToo accountability against procedural reversals and judicial delays.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$681,556Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's legal battles, with 10-20 years at 30.4% edging out no prison time at 26.2%, driven by his standing 16-year California rape conviction amid an ongoing appeal, contrasted by April's New York appeals court overturn of his 2020 conviction due to evidentiary errors, paving the way for a retrial. Recent pretrial hearings in Manhattan have denied bail and set a potential early 2025 trial date, while Weinstein's multiple hospitalizations for health issues in August-September underscore his frail condition at 72, fueling debate on time served or compassionate release. Competitive dynamics hinge on appeal outcomes and trial results, with no clear frontrunner as traders weigh #MeToo accountability against procedural reversals and judicial delays.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes