Polymarket traders assign a 47% implied probability to Eurozone annual GDP growth of 1.0-2.0% in 2026, closely trailed by 30% for 0-1.0%, reflecting downward revisions in official forecasts amid escalating Middle East conflict impacts. ECB staff projections (March 19, 2026) cut 2026 growth to 0.9%—a 0.3 percentage point drop from December—due to energy price shocks curbing consumption and investment, compounded by weaker foreign demand despite fiscal boosts for infrastructure and defense. The IMF's April 14 World Economic Outlook trimmed its estimate to 1.1% from 1.4%, while April 7 PMI data showed growth slowing to a nine-month low on surging costs. Q1 GDP flash due April 30 remains a key catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1,0-2,0% 45%
7.0%+ 19.1%
<0% 17.2%
2,0-3,0% 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ene 2027
<0%
11%
0-1,0%
29%
1,0-2,0%
44%
2,0-3,0%
17%
3,0-4,0%
18%
4,0-5,0%
24%
5,0-6,0%
7%
6,0-7,0%
3%
7.0%+
19%
1,0-2,0% 45%
7.0%+ 19.1%
<0% 17.2%
2,0-3,0% 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ene 2027
<0%
$599 Vol.
11%
0-1,0%
$469 Vol.
29%
1,0-2,0%
$1,271 Vol.
44%
2,0-3,0%
$554 Vol.
17%
3,0-4,0%
$469 Vol.
18%
4,0-5,0%
$1,378 Vol.
24%
5,0-6,0%
$547 Vol.
7%
6,0-7,0%
$542 Vol.
3%
7.0%+
$344 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Polymarket traders assign a 47% implied probability to Eurozone annual GDP growth of 1.0-2.0% in 2026, closely trailed by 30% for 0-1.0%, reflecting downward revisions in official forecasts amid escalating Middle East conflict impacts. ECB staff projections (March 19, 2026) cut 2026 growth to 0.9%—a 0.3 percentage point drop from December—due to energy price shocks curbing consumption and investment, compounded by weaker foreign demand despite fiscal boosts for infrastructure and defense. The IMF's April 14 World Economic Outlook trimmed its estimate to 1.1% from 1.4%, while April 7 PMI data showed growth slowing to a nine-month low on surging costs. Q1 GDP flash due April 30 remains a key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Volumen
$6,173Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Polymarket traders assign a 47% implied probability to Eurozone annual GDP growth of 1.0-2.0% in 2026, closely trailed by 30% for 0-1.0%, reflecting downward revisions in official forecasts amid escalating Middle East conflict impacts. ECB staff projections (March 19, 2026) cut 2026 growth to 0.9%—a 0.3 percentage point drop from December—due to energy price shocks curbing consumption and investment, compounded by weaker foreign demand despite fiscal boosts for infrastructure and defense. The IMF's April 14 World Economic Outlook trimmed its estimate to 1.1% from 1.4%, while April 7 PMI data showed growth slowing to a nine-month low on surging costs. Q1 GDP flash due April 30 remains a key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,173Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign a 47% implied probability to Eurozone annual GDP growth of 1.0-2.0% in 2026, closely trailed by 30% for 0-1.0%, reflecting downward revisions in official forecasts amid escalating Middle East conflict impacts. ECB staff projections (March 19, 2026) cut 2026 growth to 0.9%—a 0.3 percentage point drop from December—due to energy price shocks curbing consumption and investment, compounded by weaker foreign demand despite fiscal boosts for infrastructure and defense. The IMF's April 14 World Economic Outlook trimmed its estimate to 1.1% from 1.4%, while April 7 PMI data showed growth slowing to a nine-month low on surging costs. Q1 GDP flash due April 30 remains a key catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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