Market icon
Política·Recompensas 200, 4.5, 50

¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 24 al 31 de marzo de 2026?

Market icon
Política·Recompensas 200, 4.5, 50

¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 24 al 31 de marzo de 2026?

mar 31

abr 3

abr 7

abr 10

mar 31

abr 3

abr 7

abr 10

TWEET COUNT
114
Tiempo restante
TWEETS
114
Tiempo restante

220-239 57.2%

200-219 33.6%

240-259 9%

260-279 <1%

Polymarket

$10,683,536 Vol.

220-239 57.2%

200-219 33.6%

240-259 9%

260-279 <1%

Polymarket

$10,683,536 Vol.

200-219

$1,064,530 Vol.

34%

220-239

$780,298 Vol.

57%

240-259

$588,953 Vol.

9%

260-279

$479,050 Vol.

1%

280-299

$426,169 Vol.

<1%

300-319

$461,355 Vol.

<1%

320-339

$463,585 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$391,721 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$384,267 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$319,364 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$342,004 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$272,114 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$275,146 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$221,505 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$180,704 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$212,267 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$163,969 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$157,983 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$181,229 Vol.

<1%

580+

$244,528 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from March 24-31, 2026, with 200-219 close behind at 32%, reflecting his current weekly tally amid a sharp late-March slowdown after peaking at 340-379 posts in early March weeks like March 3-10. This positioning stems from verified high-volume bursts earlier in the period—such as 168 posts March 20-24—but tapering activity in the final days, with shorter markets like March 28-30 locking in 40-64 posts as traders anchor to real-time trackers. Historical patterns show Musk averaging around 40 daily posts monthly (monthly March total frontrunning 1320-1359), yet recent quieter days amid potential distractions like SpaceX updates or government advisory roles temper upside, with today's final hours pivotal for any late surge or confirmation under 220.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$10,683,536
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from March 24-31, 2026, with 200-219 close behind at 32%, reflecting his current weekly tally amid a sharp late-March slowdown after peaking at 340-379 posts in early March weeks like March 3-10. This positioning stems from verified high-volume bursts earlier in the period—such as 168 posts March 20-24—but tapering activity in the final days, with shorter markets like March 28-30 locking in 40-64 posts as traders anchor to real-time trackers. Historical patterns show Musk averaging around 40 daily posts monthly (monthly March total frontrunning 1320-1359), yet recent quieter days amid potential distractions like SpaceX updates or government advisory roles temper upside, with today's final hours pivotal for any late surge or confirmation under 220.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$10,683,536
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 24 al 31 de marzo de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 30 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "220-239" con 57%, seguido de "200-219" con 34%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 57¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 57% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 24 al 31 de marzo de 2026?" ha generado $10.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 21, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 24 al 31 de marzo de 2026?", explora los 30 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 24 al 31 de marzo de 2026?" es "220-239" con 57%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 57% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "200-219" con 34%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 24 al 31 de marzo de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.