U.S. military intervention in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, involving airstrikes on Caracas and the capture of President Nicolás Maduro, shifted trader focus from regime removal to post-operation transition challenges, with the Trump administration assuming oversight of oil revenues and pledging a "safe transition." Recent escalation includes a March 3 U.S. threat to indict interim leader Delcy Rodríguez on drug trafficking charges, intensifying diplomatic pressure amid congressional scrutiny over the operation's $3 billion cost and lack of prior authorization. Ongoing U.S. naval strikes on smuggling vessels in the Caribbean—now the 47th since September 2025—underscore enforcement but stop short of land actions. Upcoming Maduro court proceedings in New York and oil export shifts could influence stability, while regional rhetoric touting successes raises speculation on further interventions like in Cuba.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$2,526,407 Vol.
31 ene 2026
31 de diciembre
21%
$2,526,407 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$485,106 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.U.S. military intervention in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, involving airstrikes on Caracas and the capture of President Nicolás Maduro, shifted trader focus from regime removal to post-operation transition challenges, with the Trump administration assuming oversight of oil revenues and pledging a "safe transition." Recent escalation includes a March 3 U.S. threat to indict interim leader Delcy Rodríguez on drug trafficking charges, intensifying diplomatic pressure amid congressional scrutiny over the operation's $3 billion cost and lack of prior authorization. Ongoing U.S. naval strikes on smuggling vessels in the Caribbean—now the 47th since September 2025—underscore enforcement but stop short of land actions. Upcoming Maduro court proceedings in New York and oil export shifts could influence stability, while regional rhetoric touting successes raises speculation on further interventions like in Cuba.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volumen
$2,526,407Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.U.S. military intervention in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, involving airstrikes on Caracas and the capture of President Nicolás Maduro, shifted trader focus from regime removal to post-operation transition challenges, with the Trump administration assuming oversight of oil revenues and pledging a "safe transition." Recent escalation includes a March 3 U.S. threat to indict interim leader Delcy Rodríguez on drug trafficking charges, intensifying diplomatic pressure amid congressional scrutiny over the operation's $3 billion cost and lack of prior authorization. Ongoing U.S. naval strikes on smuggling vessels in the Caribbean—now the 47th since September 2025—underscore enforcement but stop short of land actions. Upcoming Maduro court proceedings in New York and oil export shifts could influence stability, while regional rhetoric touting successes raises speculation on further interventions like in Cuba.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$2,526,407Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. military intervention in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, involving airstrikes on Caracas and the capture of President Nicolás Maduro, shifted trader focus from regime removal to post-operation transition challenges, with the Trump administration assuming oversight of oil revenues and pledging a "safe transition." Recent escalation includes a March 3 U.S. threat to indict interim leader Delcy Rodríguez on drug trafficking charges, intensifying diplomatic pressure amid congressional scrutiny over the operation's $3 billion cost and lack of prior authorization. Ongoing U.S. naval strikes on smuggling vessels in the Caribbean—now the 47th since September 2025—underscore enforcement but stop short of land actions. Upcoming Maduro court proceedings in New York and oil export shifts could influence stability, while regional rhetoric touting successes raises speculation on further interventions like in Cuba.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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