Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77% implied probability that Alphabet holds third place by market capitalization at April 30, 2026, anchored by its current $3.56 trillion valuation—trailing Apple's $3.76 trillion by roughly $200 billion but leading Microsoft's $2.8 trillion by over $800 billion. Recent share price stability, with both Alphabet and Apple declining about 2-3% over the past 30 days amid tech sector rotation away from mega-caps, has preserved this gap after Alphabet briefly overtook Apple for second in January on AI momentum. Apple's 21.5% odds reflect bets on Alphabet closing the valuation spread via strong Q1 earnings on April 23, potentially via cloud and AI revenue beats, ahead of Apple's fiscal Q2 report on April 30; lower probabilities for NVIDIA or others underscore Nvidia's commanding $4.3 trillion lead and challengers' distant positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoAlphabet 77%
Apple 22%
NVIDIA 1.1%
Microsoft <1%
$738,364 Vol.
$738,364 Vol.
Alphabet
77%
Apple
22%
NVIDIA
1%
Microsoft
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Oracle
<1%
Tesla
<1%
Alphabet 77%
Apple 22%
NVIDIA 1.1%
Microsoft <1%
$738,364 Vol.
$738,364 Vol.
Alphabet
77%
Apple
22%
NVIDIA
1%
Microsoft
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Oracle
<1%
Tesla
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77% implied probability that Alphabet holds third place by market capitalization at April 30, 2026, anchored by its current $3.56 trillion valuation—trailing Apple's $3.76 trillion by roughly $200 billion but leading Microsoft's $2.8 trillion by over $800 billion. Recent share price stability, with both Alphabet and Apple declining about 2-3% over the past 30 days amid tech sector rotation away from mega-caps, has preserved this gap after Alphabet briefly overtook Apple for second in January on AI momentum. Apple's 21.5% odds reflect bets on Alphabet closing the valuation spread via strong Q1 earnings on April 23, potentially via cloud and AI revenue beats, ahead of Apple's fiscal Q2 report on April 30; lower probabilities for NVIDIA or others underscore Nvidia's commanding $4.3 trillion lead and challengers' distant positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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