Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Apple as the frontrunner at 65.5% implied probability to hold second-largest market capitalization on April 30, reflecting its current $3.66 trillion valuation—firmly behind NVIDIA's commanding $4.07 trillion lead but ahead of Alphabet's $3.31 trillion. NVIDIA's AI chip dominance has widened its gap over $400 billion despite a recent 2% share price dip, minimizing odds (6.9%) of it slipping to second. Alphabet's 26.5% stake stems from earlier 2026 AI surges that briefly challenged Apple, though recent -2.5% daily declines have stalled momentum amid broader tech sector volatility. With Q1 earnings approaching for Microsoft and others, traders price low crossover risk in the next month, emphasizing relative stability in mega-cap rankings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoApple 66%
Alphabet 26%
NVIDIA 6.9%
Microsoft <1%
$701,734 Vol.
$701,734 Vol.

Apple
66%

Alphabet
26%

NVIDIA
7%

Microsoft
1%

Tesla
1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Amazon
<1%
Apple 66%
Alphabet 26%
NVIDIA 6.9%
Microsoft <1%
$701,734 Vol.
$701,734 Vol.

Apple
66%

Alphabet
26%

NVIDIA
7%

Microsoft
1%

Tesla
1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Amazon
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Apple as the frontrunner at 65.5% implied probability to hold second-largest market capitalization on April 30, reflecting its current $3.66 trillion valuation—firmly behind NVIDIA's commanding $4.07 trillion lead but ahead of Alphabet's $3.31 trillion. NVIDIA's AI chip dominance has widened its gap over $400 billion despite a recent 2% share price dip, minimizing odds (6.9%) of it slipping to second. Alphabet's 26.5% stake stems from earlier 2026 AI surges that briefly challenged Apple, though recent -2.5% daily declines have stalled momentum amid broader tech sector volatility. With Q1 earnings approaching for Microsoft and others, traders price low crossover risk in the next month, emphasizing relative stability in mega-cap rankings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes