Incumbent Republican Senator John Barrasso holds a commanding lead in Wyoming's U.S. Senate race, with trader consensus reflecting polls showing him ahead by 40+ points against Democrat Scott Quarles in this deep-red state Trump carried by 43 points in 2020. Barrasso advanced easily through the August primary with 74% of the vote despite minimal opposition, while Quarles won his uncontested. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this dynamic, including steady national Republican momentum and Wyoming's history of lopsided Senate outcomes favoring incumbents. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an unprecedented turnout surge among Democratic voters, the race remains firmly in Republican hands ahead of the November 5 election.
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Republikaner
93%

Demokrat
8%

Republikaner
93%

Demokrat
8%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Senator John Barrasso holds a commanding lead in Wyoming's U.S. Senate race, with trader consensus reflecting polls showing him ahead by 40+ points against Democrat Scott Quarles in this deep-red state Trump carried by 43 points in 2020. Barrasso advanced easily through the August primary with 74% of the vote despite minimal opposition, while Quarles won his uncontested. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this dynamic, including steady national Republican momentum and Wyoming's history of lopsided Senate outcomes favoring incumbents. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an unprecedented turnout surge among Democratic voters, the race remains firmly in Republican hands ahead of the November 5 election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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