Incumbent Rep. Harriet Hageman's December announcement to vacate her seat for a U.S. Senate bid opened Wyoming's at-large House race, yet trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Republican Party at 91% due to the state's entrenched GOP dominance—evidenced by Hageman's 47-point 2024 general election margin and consistent supermajorities in state elections. The August 18 Republican primary, featuring a crowded field including Secretary of State Chuck Gray (with high name recognition and early cash advantage), former Supt. Jillian Balow, Senate President Bo Biteman, and others, will effectively decide the nominee amid surging post-legislature endorsements. Sole Democrat Gabriel Green faces steep historical barriers in this deep-red battleground. Late-breaking GOP nominee scandal, weak primary turnout, or national Democratic wave could challenge the outcome, though probabilities remain low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWY-AL Wahlsieger
WY-AL Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
91%
Demokratische Partei
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
$4,033 Vol.
91%
Demokratische Partei
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Harriet Hageman's December announcement to vacate her seat for a U.S. Senate bid opened Wyoming's at-large House race, yet trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Republican Party at 91% due to the state's entrenched GOP dominance—evidenced by Hageman's 47-point 2024 general election margin and consistent supermajorities in state elections. The August 18 Republican primary, featuring a crowded field including Secretary of State Chuck Gray (with high name recognition and early cash advantage), former Supt. Jillian Balow, Senate President Bo Biteman, and others, will effectively decide the nominee amid surging post-legislature endorsements. Sole Democrat Gabriel Green faces steep historical barriers in this deep-red battleground. Late-breaking GOP nominee scandal, weak primary turnout, or national Democratic wave could challenge the outcome, though probabilities remain low.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$4,033Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Harriet Hageman's December announcement to vacate her seat for a U.S. Senate bid opened Wyoming's at-large House race, yet trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Republican Party at 91% due to the state's entrenched GOP dominance—evidenced by Hageman's 47-point 2024 general election margin and consistent supermajorities in state elections. The August 18 Republican primary, featuring a crowded field including Secretary of State Chuck Gray (with high name recognition and early cash advantage), former Supt. Jillian Balow, Senate President Bo Biteman, and others, will effectively decide the nominee amid surging post-legislature endorsements. Sole Democrat Gabriel Green faces steep historical barriers in this deep-red battleground. Late-breaking GOP nominee scandal, weak primary turnout, or national Democratic wave could challenge the outcome, though probabilities remain low.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$4,033Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Harriet Hageman's December announcement to vacate her seat for a U.S. Senate bid opened Wyoming's at-large House race, yet trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Republican Party at 91% due to the state's entrenched GOP dominance—evidenced by Hageman's 47-point 2024 general election margin and consistent supermajorities in state elections. The August 18 Republican primary, featuring a crowded field including Secretary of State Chuck Gray (with high name recognition and early cash advantage), former Supt. Jillian Balow, Senate President Bo Biteman, and others, will effectively decide the nominee amid surging post-legislature endorsements. Sole Democrat Gabriel Green faces steep historical barriers in this deep-red battleground. Late-breaking GOP nominee scandal, weak primary turnout, or national Democratic wave could challenge the outcome, though probabilities remain low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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