Republican control of the House with a slim 220-215 majority has fueled trader consensus at 61.5% for impeachment articles passing before Trump's term ends on January 20, 2029, as just a handful of GOP defections could enable Democrats to force a floor vote. Recent catalysts include Matt Gaetz's November 21 withdrawal as attorney general nominee amid an ethics probe, highlighting intra-party tensions over Trump's controversial cabinet picks like Pete Hegseth for Defense and Tulsi Gabbard for DNI, both facing Senate confirmation hurdles. Trump's pledges for mass deportations, ending Ukraine aid, and debt ceiling brinkmanship—evident in his opposition to a December continuing resolution—risk alienating moderate Republicans, echoing dynamics from his two prior impeachments. No active proceedings exist, but fiscal deadlines in early 2025 loom large.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
$11,237 Vol.
$11,237 Vol.
$11,237 Vol.
$11,237 Vol.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the House with a slim 220-215 majority has fueled trader consensus at 61.5% for impeachment articles passing before Trump's term ends on January 20, 2029, as just a handful of GOP defections could enable Democrats to force a floor vote. Recent catalysts include Matt Gaetz's November 21 withdrawal as attorney general nominee amid an ethics probe, highlighting intra-party tensions over Trump's controversial cabinet picks like Pete Hegseth for Defense and Tulsi Gabbard for DNI, both facing Senate confirmation hurdles. Trump's pledges for mass deportations, ending Ukraine aid, and debt ceiling brinkmanship—evident in his opposition to a December continuing resolution—risk alienating moderate Republicans, echoing dynamics from his two prior impeachments. No active proceedings exist, but fiscal deadlines in early 2025 loom large.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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