Polymarket traders are pricing a 65% implied probability for silver (SI) to hit $30 by March 31, driven primarily by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts weakening the U.S. dollar and boosting precious metals as safe-haven assets amid persistent inflation above the 2% target. Spot silver trades at $29.45/oz, up 2% weekly on strong industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics, with COMEX futures open interest rising 5% to signal bullish positioning. Key risks include a hawkish FOMC March 19-20 meeting or softer-than-expected Chinese economic data curbing demand; watch upcoming CPI on March 12 for volatility, as trader consensus hinges on sustained sub-$30 support holding through month-end settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$1,154,476 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ 170 $
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
5%
↓ $70
100%
↓ $65
55%
↓ $60
19%
↓ $50
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$1,154,476 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ 170 $
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
5%
↓ $70
100%
↓ $65
55%
↓ $60
19%
↓ $50
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a 65% implied probability for silver (SI) to hit $30 by March 31, driven primarily by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts weakening the U.S. dollar and boosting precious metals as safe-haven assets amid persistent inflation above the 2% target. Spot silver trades at $29.45/oz, up 2% weekly on strong industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics, with COMEX futures open interest rising 5% to signal bullish positioning. Key risks include a hawkish FOMC March 19-20 meeting or softer-than-expected Chinese economic data curbing demand; watch upcoming CPI on March 12 for volatility, as trader consensus hinges on sustained sub-$30 support holding through month-end settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen