Polymarket traders price a modest implied probability for silver (SI) futures hitting the target level by March 31, reflecting spot prices hovering near $24.50 amid a 5% monthly rally fueled by Fed rate-cut bets and weakening USD index below 104. Key drivers include surging industrial demand from solar panel production and AI data centers, alongside gold's parallel surge past $2,150/oz as a safe-haven proxy. However, hawkish FOMC rhetoric from the March 20 meeting could cap upside if dot-plot forecasts fewer 2024 cuts. Watch Thursday's PCE inflation data and China's PMI release for volatility; sustained sub-2.5% core PCE supports bullish trader consensus, but COMEX positioning shows net longs near multi-year highs, hinting at squeeze risk.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$956,774 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ 170 $
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
<1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
<1%
↑ $120
<1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
1%
↑ $95
3%
↓ $65
67%
↓ $60
39%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $25
1%
$956,774 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ 170 $
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
<1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
<1%
↑ $120
<1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
1%
↑ $95
3%
↓ $65
67%
↓ $60
39%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $25
1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a modest implied probability for silver (SI) futures hitting the target level by March 31, reflecting spot prices hovering near $24.50 amid a 5% monthly rally fueled by Fed rate-cut bets and weakening USD index below 104. Key drivers include surging industrial demand from solar panel production and AI data centers, alongside gold's parallel surge past $2,150/oz as a safe-haven proxy. However, hawkish FOMC rhetoric from the March 20 meeting could cap upside if dot-plot forecasts fewer 2024 cuts. Watch Thursday's PCE inflation data and China's PMI release for volatility; sustained sub-2.5% core PCE supports bullish trader consensus, but COMEX positioning shows net longs near multi-year highs, hinting at squeeze risk.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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