Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns low implied probability to silver (SI) hitting $30 by March 31, with Yes shares trading around 15-20%, anchored by the current spot price near $24.50/oz amid a firm US dollar index above 104 and delayed Fed rate-cut expectations. Driving sentiment are robust industrial demand—solar panels and EVs accounted for over 50% of 2023 consumption—offset by ample mine supply growth projected at 2-3% YoY. Recent catalysts include softer February CPI fueling cut bets, but hawkish FOMC minutes tempered gains. Key risks ahead: March 20 FOMC decision and April 5 nonfarm payrolls; a break above $26 resistance could accelerate momentum toward historical EOM highs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$929,251 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ 170 $
<1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
57%
↓ $60
13%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
$929,251 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ 170 $
<1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
57%
↓ $60
13%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns low implied probability to silver (SI) hitting $30 by March 31, with Yes shares trading around 15-20%, anchored by the current spot price near $24.50/oz amid a firm US dollar index above 104 and delayed Fed rate-cut expectations. Driving sentiment are robust industrial demand—solar panels and EVs accounted for over 50% of 2023 consumption—offset by ample mine supply growth projected at 2-3% YoY. Recent catalysts include softer February CPI fueling cut bets, but hawkish FOMC minutes tempered gains. Key risks ahead: March 20 FOMC decision and April 5 nonfarm payrolls; a break above $26 resistance could accelerate momentum toward historical EOM highs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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