Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest probability for silver (SI) futures to hit the target by March 31, reflecting current spot prices hovering near $31.50/oz amid persistent industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics, offset by a strengthening U.S. dollar. Key drivers include elevated inflation expectations and potential Fed rate cuts post the March 19 FOMC meeting, which could boost precious metals as non-yielding assets; however, China's economic slowdown caps upside. Watch February CPI release on March 12 for volatility, with historical precedents showing silver rallying 5-10% on dovish policy signals. Market-implied odds underscore uncertainty, with real capital betting on macroeconomic catalysts over technical breakouts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$1,018,831 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ 170 $
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
18%
↓ $50
5%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
$1,018,831 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ 170 $
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
18%
↓ $50
5%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest probability for silver (SI) futures to hit the target by March 31, reflecting current spot prices hovering near $31.50/oz amid persistent industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics, offset by a strengthening U.S. dollar. Key drivers include elevated inflation expectations and potential Fed rate cuts post the March 19 FOMC meeting, which could boost precious metals as non-yielding assets; however, China's economic slowdown caps upside. Watch February CPI release on March 12 for volatility, with historical precedents showing silver rallying 5-10% on dovish policy signals. Market-implied odds underscore uncertainty, with real capital betting on macroeconomic catalysts over technical breakouts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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