Trader consensus prices a near-certain "No" at 95.9% for a direct Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by June 30, reflecting stalled trilateral Ukraine-U.S.-Russia peace talks paused since mid-March amid Russia's spring offensive in Donbas and the Iran conflict diverting diplomatic focus. Recent escalations, including Moscow's two-month ultimatum for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas issued yesterday and Zelenskyy's accusations of Russian intelligence aid to Iran targeting U.S. assets, underscore irreconcilable demands—Putin's insistence on territorial concessions and Ukrainian capitulation versus Kyiv's calls for full withdrawal and security guarantees. No bilateral summit has been scheduled since their last encounter in 2019, with the Kremlin rejecting direct engagement without preconditions. A sudden U.S.-brokered breakthrough or ceasefire could shift odds, though historical negotiation deadlocks suggest low likelihood.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$189,635 Vol.
$189,635 Vol.
Ja
$189,635 Vol.
$189,635 Vol.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a near-certain "No" at 95.9% for a direct Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by June 30, reflecting stalled trilateral Ukraine-U.S.-Russia peace talks paused since mid-March amid Russia's spring offensive in Donbas and the Iran conflict diverting diplomatic focus. Recent escalations, including Moscow's two-month ultimatum for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas issued yesterday and Zelenskyy's accusations of Russian intelligence aid to Iran targeting U.S. assets, underscore irreconcilable demands—Putin's insistence on territorial concessions and Ukrainian capitulation versus Kyiv's calls for full withdrawal and security guarantees. No bilateral summit has been scheduled since their last encounter in 2019, with the Kremlin rejecting direct engagement without preconditions. A sudden U.S.-brokered breakthrough or ceasefire could shift odds, though historical negotiation deadlocks suggest low likelihood.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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