Trader consensus assigns a 94.5% implied probability to no Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by June 30, 2026, driven by the prolonged diplomatic impasse in the Ukraine conflict. Putin recently reiterated demands for Ukraine to cede annexed regions like Donetsk and Luhansk, recognize Crimea, and abandon NATO aspirations—preconditions Zelenskyy dismisses, insisting on full Russian troop withdrawal, reparations, and security guarantees. Escalating military actions, including Russian advances in Donbas bolstered by North Korean troops and intensified airstrikes on Ukrainian cities, have deepened distrust. Zelenskyy's Kursk incursion yielded limited gains before retreats, with no ceasefire talks scheduled. Potential US aid shifts post-election represent the main uncertainty, though historical negotiation breakdowns sustain skepticism.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$148,390 Vol.
$148,390 Vol.
Ja
$148,390 Vol.
$148,390 Vol.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus assigns a 94.5% implied probability to no Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by June 30, 2026, driven by the prolonged diplomatic impasse in the Ukraine conflict. Putin recently reiterated demands for Ukraine to cede annexed regions like Donetsk and Luhansk, recognize Crimea, and abandon NATO aspirations—preconditions Zelenskyy dismisses, insisting on full Russian troop withdrawal, reparations, and security guarantees. Escalating military actions, including Russian advances in Donbas bolstered by North Korean troops and intensified airstrikes on Ukrainian cities, have deepened distrust. Zelenskyy's Kursk incursion yielded limited gains before retreats, with no ceasefire talks scheduled. Potential US aid shifts post-election represent the main uncertainty, though historical negotiation breakdowns sustain skepticism.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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