Trader consensus favors Richard Branson at 13% implied probability for confirmed physical visits to Jeffrey Epstein's Little St. James island, trailed by Woody Allen (12%) and Steve Bannon (11%), driven by ongoing scrutiny of the U.S. Department of Justice's late January 2026 release of 3.5 million pages under the Epstein Files Transparency Act. These files detail flight logs, emails, and evidence lists from the Ghislaine Maxwell trial and prior unseals, but provide no new definitive proof of arrivals—merely associations—for most prominent names, enforcing the market's strict resolution criteria. Absent fresh disclosures in recent weeks, low probabilities reflect uncertainty, with potential congressional reviews ahead of the June 30, 2026, deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$1,373,744 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Richard Branson
13%
Woody Allen
12%
Steve Bannon
11%
Steven Tisch
10%
Kevin Spacey
10%
Deepak Chopra
10%
Noam Chomsky
9%
Harvey Weinstein
9%
Bill Gates
8%
Bill Clinton
8%
Michael Jackson
6%
Jay-Z
6%
Donald Trump
5%
Bill Cosby
5%
Elon Musk
4%
Peter Attia
3%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Marco Rubio
2%
$1,373,744 Vol.
Richard Branson
$16,763 Vol.
13%
Woody Allen
$12,167 Vol.
12%
Steve Bannon
$56,816 Vol.
11%
Steven Tisch
$0 Vol.
10%
Kevin Spacey
$20,459 Vol.
10%
Deepak Chopra
$0 Vol.
10%
Noam Chomsky
$24,268 Vol.
9%
Harvey Weinstein
$16,848 Vol.
9%
Bill Gates
$95,458 Vol.
8%
Bill Clinton
$255,851 Vol.
8%
Michael Jackson
$152,063 Vol.
6%
Jay-Z
$449,274 Vol.
6%
Donald Trump
$128,163 Vol.
5%
Bill Cosby
$8,062 Vol.
5%
Elon Musk
$77,851 Vol.
4%
Peter Attia
$0 Vol.
3%
Hillary Clinton
$38,214 Vol.
3%
Marco Rubio
$21,487 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors Richard Branson at 13% implied probability for confirmed physical visits to Jeffrey Epstein's Little St. James island, trailed by Woody Allen (12%) and Steve Bannon (11%), driven by ongoing scrutiny of the U.S. Department of Justice's late January 2026 release of 3.5 million pages under the Epstein Files Transparency Act. These files detail flight logs, emails, and evidence lists from the Ghislaine Maxwell trial and prior unseals, but provide no new definitive proof of arrivals—merely associations—for most prominent names, enforcing the market's strict resolution criteria. Absent fresh disclosures in recent weeks, low probabilities reflect uncertainty, with potential congressional reviews ahead of the June 30, 2026, deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET
Volumen
$1,373,744Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors Richard Branson at 13% implied probability for confirmed physical visits to Jeffrey Epstein's Little St. James island, trailed by Woody Allen (12%) and Steve Bannon (11%), driven by ongoing scrutiny of the U.S. Department of Justice's late January 2026 release of 3.5 million pages under the Epstein Files Transparency Act. These files detail flight logs, emails, and evidence lists from the Ghislaine Maxwell trial and prior unseals, but provide no new definitive proof of arrivals—merely associations—for most prominent names, enforcing the market's strict resolution criteria. Absent fresh disclosures in recent weeks, low probabilities reflect uncertainty, with potential congressional reviews ahead of the June 30, 2026, deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,373,744Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors Richard Branson at 13% implied probability for confirmed physical visits to Jeffrey Epstein's Little St. James island, trailed by Woody Allen (12%) and Steve Bannon (11%), driven by ongoing scrutiny of the U.S. Department of Justice's late January 2026 release of 3.5 million pages under the Epstein Files Transparency Act. These files detail flight logs, emails, and evidence lists from the Ghislaine Maxwell trial and prior unseals, but provide no new definitive proof of arrivals—merely associations—for most prominent names, enforcing the market's strict resolution criteria. Absent fresh disclosures in recent weeks, low probabilities reflect uncertainty, with potential congressional reviews ahead of the June 30, 2026, deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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