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Technik·Big Tech

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

Market icon
Technik·Big Tech

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Google 54%

Anthropic 37%

OpenAI 3.1%

DeepSeek 1.8%

Polymarket

$59,743 Vol.

Google 54%

Anthropic 37%

OpenAI 3.1%

DeepSeek 1.8%

Polymarket

$59,743 Vol.

Market icon

Google

$10,781 Vol.

54%

Market icon

Anthropic

$6,508 Vol.

37%

Market icon

OpenAI

$2,517 Vol.

3%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$2,361 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Mistral

$2,472 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Baidu

$2,269 Vol.

2%

Market icon

xAI

$2,433 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ByteDance

$5,890 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Z.ai

$2,997 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Amazon

$2,400 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Moonshot

$2,209 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Alibaba

$14,268 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Meituan

$2,638 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders on Polymarket give Google's Gemini 1.5 Pro a 53.5% implied probability of ranking as the third-best AI model by end-April 2024, per LMSYS Chatbot Arena ELO benchmarks, narrowly ahead of Anthropic's Claude 3 Opus at 37.5%. This positioning stems from Google's April 11 release of the experimental Gemini 1.5 Pro, which leveraged its 1 million-token context window to surge up leaderboards, posting scores around 1274 ELO just behind GPT-4 Turbo (first) and Claude 3 Opus (second). Anthropic's March-launched Opus held firm with superior reasoning in some evaluations but couldn't match Gemini's late-month gains in blind user battles. OpenAI trails at 2.9% as its GPT-4 Turbo led overall. Resolution hinges on the exact April 30 snapshot, with minimal shifts expected absent leaderboard revisions.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$59,743
Enddatum
Apr 30, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 20, 2026, 4:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders on Polymarket give Google's Gemini 1.5 Pro a 53.5% implied probability of ranking as the third-best AI model by end-April 2024, per LMSYS Chatbot Arena ELO benchmarks, narrowly ahead of Anthropic's Claude 3 Opus at 37.5%. This positioning stems from Google's April 11 release of the experimental Gemini 1.5 Pro, which leveraged its 1 million-token context window to surge up leaderboards, posting scores around 1274 ELO just behind GPT-4 Turbo (first) and Claude 3 Opus (second). Anthropic's March-launched Opus held firm with superior reasoning in some evaluations but couldn't match Gemini's late-month gains in blind user battles. OpenAI trails at 2.9% as its GPT-4 Turbo led overall. Resolution hinges on the exact April 30 snapshot, with minimal shifts expected absent leaderboard revisions.

Traders on Polymarket give Google's Gemini 1.5 Pro a 53.5% implied probability of ranking as the third-best AI model by end-April 2024, per LMSYS Chatbot Arena ELO benchmarks, narrowly ahead of Anthropic's Claude 3 Opus at 37.5%. This positioning stems from Google's April 11 release of the experimental Gemini 1.5 Pro, which leveraged its 1 million-token context window to surge up leaderboards, posting scores around 1274 ELO just behind GPT-4 Turbo (first) and Claude 3 Opus (second). Anthropic's March-launched Opus held firm with superior reasoning in some evaluations but couldn't match Gemini's late-month gains in blind user battles. OpenAI trails at 2.9% as its GPT-4 Turbo led overall. Resolution hinges on the exact April 30 snapshot, with minimal shifts expected absent leaderboard revisions.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Which company has the third best AI model end of April?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Google" mit 54%, gefolgt von „Anthropic" mit 37%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 54¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 54% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Which company has the third best AI model end of April?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $59.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 20, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Which company has the third best AI model end of April?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Which company has the third best AI model end of April?" ist „Google" mit 54%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 54% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Anthropic" mit 37%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Which company has the third best AI model end of April?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.