Market icon

Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das beste KI-Modell?

Market icon

Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das beste KI-Modell?

Mar 31

Jun 30

Mar 31

Jun 30

Anthropic 75.2%

Google 16%

OpenAI 3.9%

xAI 2.6%

Polymarket

$4,954,941 Vol.

Anthropic 75.2%

Google 16%

OpenAI 3.9%

xAI 2.6%

Polymarket

$4,954,941 Vol.

Market icon

Anthropic

$591,852 Vol.

75%

Market icon

Google

$512,554 Vol.

16%

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OpenAI

$537,604 Vol.

4%

Market icon

xAI

$426,671 Vol.

3%

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DeepSeek

$523,044 Vol.

2%

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Baidu

$359,029 Vol.

<1%

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Moonshot

$392,270 Vol.

<1%

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Meituan

$439,622 Vol.

<1%

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Alibaba

$298,410 Vol.

<1%

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Z.ai

$549,808 Vol.

<1%

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Mistral

$324,079 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$4,954,941
Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das beste KI-Modell?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Anthropic" at 75%, followed by "Google" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das beste KI-Modell?" has generated $5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das beste KI-Modell?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das beste KI-Modell?" is "Anthropic" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Google" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das beste KI-Modell?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.