Google 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
Alibaba <1%
xAI <1%
$2,917,283 Vol.
$2,917,283 Vol.
Sep 30, 2025

OpenAI
No

Alibaba
No

xAI
No

Meta
No

Anthropic
No

Yes

DeepSeek
No

Mistral AI
No

Z.ai
No

Microsoft
No

Tencent
No

Moonshot
No
Google 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
Alibaba <1%
xAI <1%
$2,917,283 Vol.
$2,917,283 Vol.
Sep 30, 2025

OpenAI
$306,647 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$295,810 Vol.
No

xAI
$284,132 Vol.
No

Meta
$176,865 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$485,105 Vol.
No

$424,258 Vol.
Yes

DeepSeek
$315,047 Vol.
No

Mistral AI
$248,049 Vol.
No

Z.ai
$126,502 Vol.
No

Microsoft
$81,273 Vol.
No

Tencent
$108,065 Vol.
No

Moonshot
$65,530 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2025, 2:00 PM ET
Volumen
$2,917,283Enddatum
Sep 30, 2025Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2025, 2:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Frequently Asked Questions