OpenAI's official announcement and rollout of GPT-5.5 today—detailed in a blog post and confirmed via posts from CEO Sam Altman and the company account—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for an April 23 release, as the large language model is now available to paid ChatGPT and Codex subscribers, excelling in agentic coding, research, and tool use with efficiency gains over GPT-5.4. This rapid iteration, just seven weeks after the prior model, underscores OpenAI's accelerated development pace amid competition from Anthropic's Claude. While skin-in-the-game bets reflect near-certainty on confirmed deployment, edge cases like disputes over exact rollout timing or resolution criteria could theoretically challenge it, though such risks appear negligible given the public availability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert23. April 100.0%
Prio to or on April 8 <1%
April 9 <1%
10. April <1%
$1,556,759 Vol.
$1,556,759 Vol.
Prio to or on April 8
No
April 9
No
10. April
Nein
11. April
Nein
12. April
Nein
13. April
Nein
14. April
Nein
15. April
Nein
16. April
Nein
17. April
Nein
18. April
Nein
19. April
Nein
20. April
Nein
21. April
Nein
22. April
Nein
23. April
Ja
24. April
Nein
25. April
Nein
26. April
Nein
27. April
Nein
28. April
Nein
29. April
Nein
30. April
Nein
Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. April
Nein
23. April 100.0%
Prio to or on April 8 <1%
April 9 <1%
10. April <1%
$1,556,759 Vol.
$1,556,759 Vol.
Prio to or on April 8
No
April 9
No
10. April
Nein
11. April
Nein
12. April
Nein
13. April
Nein
14. April
Nein
15. April
Nein
16. April
Nein
17. April
Nein
18. April
Nein
19. April
Nein
20. April
Nein
21. April
Nein
22. April
Nein
23. April
Ja
24. April
Nein
25. April
Nein
26. April
Nein
27. April
Nein
28. April
Nein
29. April
Nein
30. April
Nein
Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. April
Nein
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
OpenAI's official announcement and rollout of GPT-5.5 today—detailed in a blog post and confirmed via posts from CEO Sam Altman and the company account—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for an April 23 release, as the large language model is now available to paid ChatGPT and Codex subscribers, excelling in agentic coding, research, and tool use with efficiency gains over GPT-5.4. This rapid iteration, just seven weeks after the prior model, underscores OpenAI's accelerated development pace amid competition from Anthropic's Claude. While skin-in-the-game bets reflect near-certainty on confirmed deployment, edge cases like disputes over exact rollout timing or resolution criteria could theoretically challenge it, though such risks appear negligible given the public availability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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