Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 85% implied probability to Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven primarily by Bloomberg analyst Mark Gurman's April confirmation that the device remains on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max, despite minor engineering validation test delays. Supply chain reports from DigiTimes highlight progress with Samsung Display as the exclusive panel supplier, Foxconn for assembly, and finalized hinges from Shin Zu Shing, signaling readiness for limited initial production of the book-style foldable—rumored as "iPhone Ultra" with a 7.8-inch inner display and $2,000+ pricing. While historical Apple hardware timelines have slipped, recent credible leaks outweigh delay concerns, with traders eyeing the fall event as a key resolution catalyst amid intensifying competition from Samsung's Galaxy Z Fold series.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$161,291 Vol.
$161,291 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$161,291 Vol.
$161,291 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 85% implied probability to Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven primarily by Bloomberg analyst Mark Gurman's April confirmation that the device remains on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max, despite minor engineering validation test delays. Supply chain reports from DigiTimes highlight progress with Samsung Display as the exclusive panel supplier, Foxconn for assembly, and finalized hinges from Shin Zu Shing, signaling readiness for limited initial production of the book-style foldable—rumored as "iPhone Ultra" with a 7.8-inch inner display and $2,000+ pricing. While historical Apple hardware timelines have slipped, recent credible leaks outweigh delay concerns, with traders eyeing the fall event as a key resolution catalyst amid intensifying competition from Samsung's Galaxy Z Fold series.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Volumen
$161,291Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 85% implied probability to Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven primarily by Bloomberg analyst Mark Gurman's April confirmation that the device remains on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max, despite minor engineering validation test delays. Supply chain reports from DigiTimes highlight progress with Samsung Display as the exclusive panel supplier, Foxconn for assembly, and finalized hinges from Shin Zu Shing, signaling readiness for limited initial production of the book-style foldable—rumored as "iPhone Ultra" with a 7.8-inch inner display and $2,000+ pricing. While historical Apple hardware timelines have slipped, recent credible leaks outweigh delay concerns, with traders eyeing the fall event as a key resolution catalyst amid intensifying competition from Samsung's Galaxy Z Fold series.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$161,291Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 85% implied probability to Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven primarily by Bloomberg analyst Mark Gurman's April confirmation that the device remains on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max, despite minor engineering validation test delays. Supply chain reports from DigiTimes highlight progress with Samsung Display as the exclusive panel supplier, Foxconn for assembly, and finalized hinges from Shin Zu Shing, signaling readiness for limited initial production of the book-style foldable—rumored as "iPhone Ultra" with a 7.8-inch inner display and $2,000+ pricing. While historical Apple hardware timelines have slipped, recent credible leaks outweigh delay concerns, with traders eyeing the fall event as a key resolution catalyst amid intensifying competition from Samsung's Galaxy Z Fold series.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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