Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAnthropic 100.0%
xAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
Baidu <1%
$266,154 Vol.
$266,154 Vol.
30. Apr. 2026
xAI
Nein
ByteDance
Nein
Baidu
Nein
OpenAI
Nein
Alibaba
Nein
Moonshot
Nein
DeepSeek
Nein
Mistral
Nein
Meituan
Nein
Anthropic
Ja
Nein
Amazon
Nein
Z.ai
Nein
Anthropic 100.0%
xAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
Baidu <1%
$266,154 Vol.
$266,154 Vol.
30. Apr. 2026
xAI
$10,586 Vol.
Nein
ByteDance
$10,834 Vol.
Nein
Baidu
$10,999 Vol.
Nein
OpenAI
$51,753 Vol.
Nein
Alibaba
$15,388 Vol.
Nein
Moonshot
$24,635 Vol.
Nein
DeepSeek
$28,614 Vol.
Nein
Mistral
$9,907 Vol.
Nein
Meituan
$9,170 Vol.
Nein
Anthropic
$48,331 Vol.
Ja
$12,506 Vol.
Nein
Amazon
$10,425 Vol.
Nein
Z.ai
$23,007 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Volumen
$266,154Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$266,154Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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