Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 79.5%, reflecting entrenched mutual distrust, unresolved territorial disputes, and ongoing military escalations like recent Russian attacks killing at least 15 amid Ukraine's Istanbul talks. Zelenskyy has signaled readiness for direct diplomacy anywhere except Russia or Belarus—naming Turkey, Switzerland, or the US—while Putin proposed Moscow, stalling venue agreements despite US-brokered efforts yielding no breakthroughs in February. Turkey leads alternatives at 2.8% after President Erdogan's April 3 call with Putin and Zelenskyy's April 4 Istanbul visit discussing peace and energy security, yet no summit materialized. US odds at 2.2% tie to recent positive US-Ukraine negotiator contacts, with Gulf states like Qatar/UAE viable for prior mediation precedents, though active hostilities and failed prior rounds temper expectations for leader-level talks before 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertKein Treffen vor 2027 81%
Türkei 2.7%
USA 2.3%
Katar / VAE 1.8%
$1,892,679 Vol.
$1,892,679 Vol.

Kein Treffen vor 2027
81%

Türkei
3%

USA
2%

Katar / VAE
2%

Saudi-Arabien
2%

Ungarn
2%

Russland
1%

Schweiz
1%

Belarus
1%

China
1%

Indien
1%

Italien / Vatikan
1%

Ukraine
1%

Kasachstan
1%
Kein Treffen vor 2027 81%
Türkei 2.7%
USA 2.3%
Katar / VAE 1.8%
$1,892,679 Vol.
$1,892,679 Vol.

Kein Treffen vor 2027
81%

Türkei
3%

USA
2%

Katar / VAE
2%

Saudi-Arabien
2%

Ungarn
2%

Russland
1%

Schweiz
1%

Belarus
1%

China
1%

Indien
1%

Italien / Vatikan
1%

Ukraine
1%

Kasachstan
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 79.5%, reflecting entrenched mutual distrust, unresolved territorial disputes, and ongoing military escalations like recent Russian attacks killing at least 15 amid Ukraine's Istanbul talks. Zelenskyy has signaled readiness for direct diplomacy anywhere except Russia or Belarus—naming Turkey, Switzerland, or the US—while Putin proposed Moscow, stalling venue agreements despite US-brokered efforts yielding no breakthroughs in February. Turkey leads alternatives at 2.8% after President Erdogan's April 3 call with Putin and Zelenskyy's April 4 Istanbul visit discussing peace and energy security, yet no summit materialized. US odds at 2.2% tie to recent positive US-Ukraine negotiator contacts, with Gulf states like Qatar/UAE viable for prior mediation precedents, though active hostilities and failed prior rounds temper expectations for leader-level talks before 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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